Rosenborg vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rosenborg vs Viking
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Rosenborg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Viking currently sits in second place in the Eliteserien standings, showcasing a remarkable season with 11 wins from 14 matches. Their offensive strength is highlighted by 34 goals scored, while their defence has only conceded 14, resulting in a goal difference of +20. This strong performance demonstrates their ability to control games and secure results consistently. On the other hand, Rosenborg finds itself in a mid-table position at 10th place, with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses. While they have shown some positive form recently with four wins in their last five matches, their overall season has been inconsistent. With just 19 goals scored and 18 conceded, their goal difference of +1 indicates that they have struggled to find a balance between attack and defence. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Viking, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one potential caveat is Rosenborg's recent improvement in form, which could pose a challenge to Viking if they are unable to maintain their usual performance levels. The full methodology behind this prediction, based on expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis was prepared by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rosenborg vs Viking| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.55 | 1.45 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.80 | |
| 2.40 | 3.84 | 2.53 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.80 | |
| 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.47 | 4.06 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.87 | — | — | |
| 2.44 | 3.45 | 2.32 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.55 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.46 | 3.93 | 2.59 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.86 | |
| 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 2.55 | 1.38 | 2.70 | |
| 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
Betano | 2.47 | 3.65 | 2.57 | 1.45 | 2.65 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Superbet | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Rosenborg and Viking, Viking has won 6 times, Rosenborg has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches featuring narrow margins, such as Viking's 2-1 and 3-2 victories. However, Viking has also recorded some dominant wins, including a 5-0 and a 4-2, showcasing their ability to secure heavy victories. Rosenborg's last win was a 5-1 triumph in December 2023, which highlights their potential to challenge Viking despite the overall head-to-head disadvantage.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 31 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 40 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 27 | WLDWL |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 | DLLLW |
| 6 |  Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | WWLWW |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 16 |  Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 10 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRosenborg have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 2-1 and beat Fredrikstad 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 13L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Viking have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Viking 2-2 and lost to Rosenborg 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 5D 4L from the last 31 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRosenborg4-1-3-2Confirmed
Viking4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersRosenborg2
Viking3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
R. Saggi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by R. Saggi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rosenborg have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Viking 7.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
