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Sabah FA vs KuPS Prediction, Tips & Odds

Sabah FA vs KuPS

UEFA Champions League2nd Qualifying Round
Sabah FA
WLWWW
1 - 0
Bank Respublika Arena
KuPS
LDDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.74
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.3% vs 58.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Sabah FA to win this match against KuPS, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sabah FA has shown a mixed form recently, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This suggests they are capable of competing but may lack consistency. Key factors for Sabah include their ability to secure points in tight situations, as reflected by their two draws. On the other hand, KuPS is in strong form, having won four of their last five matches, with only one loss. This indicates a team that is performing well and gaining momentum. KuPS's recent success could be attributed to a solid offensive strategy, which has allowed them to score consistently in their recent outings. The model output indicates a win probability of 55% for Sabah FA, with the projected score remaining at 2-1. However, a potential caveat for Sabah could be their recent tendency to draw matches, which may impact their ability to secure three points against a confident KuPS side. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, the full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on expected goals and actual results across the season, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Sabah FA Win56%1.61
Draw21%4.05
KuPS Win23%4.62
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7054.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6653.4%

Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Sabah FA 1-1 KuPS
7.1214.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Sabah FA -1.5
2.6336%

Sabah FA have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.12
14.1%
2-1
7.18
14.1%
1-0
7.18
14.1%
2-0
7.61
13.2%
3-1
10.83
9.4%
3-0
11.18
9.1%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Sabah FA clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Sabah FA
-0.0
1.24
KuPS
+0.0
3.58
Sabah FA
-0.5
1.64
KuPS
+0.5
4.20
Sabah FA
-1.5
2.63
KuPS
+1.5
9.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sabah FA are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Sabah FA vs KuPS
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.644.004.751.652.201.622.10
Marathonbet
1.604.304.651.702.111.741.95
Betfair
1.574.004.601.602.201.732.05
Pinnacle
1.614.364.381.702.12
SBO
1.573.594.381.632.17
William Hill
1.623.904.401.672.10
Bet365
1.573.604.751.702.101.732.00
1xBet
1.614.344.681.702.111.741.98
Unibet
1.584.404.501.662.051.721.96
Betano
1.624.054.651.672.101.722.00
Superbet
1.673.904.451.652.121.672.07
BetVictor
1.604.205.251.652.061.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XSabah FA or Draw
77%1.16
12Sabah FA or KuPS
79%1.19
X2Draw or KuPS
44%2.20

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Sabah FA leads 1-0)
1 Sabah FA0 Draw0 KuPS
21 Jul
Sabah FA
1-0
KuPS
UEFA Champions League

In the only recent match between Sabah FA and KuPS, Sabah FA secured a narrow victory with a score of 1-0. This single encounter indicates a competitive matchup, but with Sabah FA having the upper hand. The low scoreline suggests that the contest was tightly contested, with neither side managing to dominate. KuPS has not won against Sabah FA in this matchup, and there are no draws to consider. Overall, the head-to-head record currently favors Sabah FA but is based on a very limited sample size.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Sabah FAKuPS
1.78Goals p.g.1.62
1Goals conceded p.g.0.9
39%Clean sheets38%
61%Win rate52%
2.78Avg goals in match2.52
xG per game3.10
53%Possession %51%
7.0Shots on target / game4.2
6.0Corners per game4.0
Sabah FA
Recent Form

Sabah FA have won 6 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Aarhus 4-0 and beat KuPS 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 3D 4L from the last 18 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Sabah FAAll competitions
11 Aug
Sabah FA
4-0
Aarhus
UEFA Champions League
05 Aug
Aarhus
2-1
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
28 Jul
KuPS
0-2
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
21 Jul
Sabah FA
1-0
KuPS
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Sabah FA
2-0
The New Saints
UEFA Champions League
02 Jul
Polessya
4-1
Sabah FA
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
61%
3
Draw
17%
4
Lost
22%
KuPS
Recent Form

KuPS have won 7 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KuPS 2-1 and beat Gnistan 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 4L from the last 21 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KuPSAll competitions
13 Aug
Universitatea Craiova
2-1
KuPS
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
KuPS
1-1
Turku PS
Veikkausliiga
06 Aug
KuPS
1-1
Universitatea Craiova
UEFA Europa League
01 Aug
Gnistan
0-1
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
28 Jul
KuPS
0-2
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
25 Jul
KuPS
3-1
VPS
Veikkausliiga
11
Win
52%
6
Draw
29%
4
Lost
19%

Lineups

Confirmed

Sabah FA4-2-3-1Confirmed

80Akim ZedadkaDEF
5Rahman DashdamirovDEF
27Tymoteusz PuchaczDEF
3Steve SolvetDEF
20Joy Lance MickelsFWD
92Stas PokatilovGK
7Umarali RakhmonalievMID
10Aleksey IsayevMID
21Veljko SimićMID
11Kaheem ParrisMID
13Ivan LepinjicaMID
33Júnior AlmeidaDEF
4Aden McCarthyDEF
17Tellur MutallimovDEF
23Younes LachaabFWD
99Patrick Orphe M'BinaFWD
1Amin RamazanovGK
94Ravan MirzammadovGK
6Abdulakh KhaybulaevMID
16Rauf RustamliMID
88Rodrigo FernandesMID
34Xander SeverinaMID
19Aaron MaloudaMID

KuPS4-2-3-1Confirmed

4Kasim AdamsDEF
28Brahima MagassaDEF
29Akseli PuukkoDEF
24Bob Nii ArmahDEF
25Clinton AntwiDEF
9Gustav EngvallFWD
20Piotr ParzyszekFWD
1Johannes KreidlGK
10Valentín GascMID
8Petteri PennanenMID
16Tommi JyryMID
23Arttu LötjönenDEF
6Saku SavolainenDEF
30JorginhoDEF
33Taneli HämäläinenDEF
11Jaime MorenoFWD
12Hemmo RiihimäkiGK
37Kasperi SilenGK
3Saku HeiskanenMID
13Niilo KujasaloMID
17Arttu HeinonenMID
21Joslyn Luyeye-LutumbaMID
22Saikou TourayMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sabah FA

No reported absences

KuPS

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Sabah FA Win1.61 (56.4%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (53.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (46.6%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (54.2%)
BTTS No2.03 (45.8%)
Speculative
Draw4.05 (20.6%)
KuPS Win4.62 (23%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Sabah FA have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; KuPS 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Sabah FA have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 61% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sabah FA player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.