Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours Sandefjord to win against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sandefjord currently sits in 11th place with 15 points from 13 matches, having secured four wins, three draws, and six losses this season. Their goal difference stands at -4, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. While their recent form has been poor, with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, they have shown resilience at home. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is positioned 13th in the standings with 12 points, having won three, drawn three, and lost seven matches. They share the same goal tally as Sandefjord, but their defensive issues are evident with 21 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -8. Their recent form is concerning, as they have not won in their last five matches, recording four losses and just one draw. The model gives Sandefjord a win probability of approximately 55%, with the potential for a 2-1 outcome. A key market percentage suggests that there is a 60% chance for Sandefjord to win. However, if Sandefjord's poor form continues, particularly at home, they could struggle to secure the victory. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Sandefjord have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sandefjord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.35 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.98 | 3.58 | 3.48 | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.04 | 3.75 | 3.62 | 1.72 | 2.18 | — | — | |
| 1.99 | 3.26 | 3.14 | 1.70 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.03 | 3.66 | 3.56 | 1.71 | 2.16 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
| 2.06 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.60 | 2.14 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.35 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.18 |
Superbet | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.58 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sandefjord leads 6-1)In their last 10 encounters, Sandefjord has won 6 times, KFUM Oslo has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. This record indicates a clear advantage for Sandefjord, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure narrow victories, with several matches ending in 1-0 or 2-1. The most recent win for KFUM Oslo dates back to March 2025, suggesting a struggle to overcome Sandefjord in recent matchups. While there have been some high-scoring draws, the overall results show that Sandefjord has been dominant in this head-to-head series.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 | LLLDL |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjord have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Sandefjord 0-3 and drew with Sandefjord 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 9L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 0 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lillestrom 2-1 and lost to Vendsyssel FF 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 14L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSandefjord4-1-4-1Confirmed
KFUM Oslo3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSandefjord
No reported absences
KFUM Oslo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Haugen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Haugen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sandefjord have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sandefjord have generated 1.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sandefjord player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
