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Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

EliteserienRegular Season - 17
Sandefjord
#12 · Eliteserien
LLLLD
0 - 1
Jotun Arena, Sandefjord (6,598)
Referee: J. Haugen
KFUM Oslo
#13 · Eliteserien
LLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 63.0%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 65.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.5% vs 63.0%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Sandefjord to win against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sandefjord currently sits in 11th place with 15 points from 13 matches, having secured four wins, three draws, and six losses this season. Their goal difference stands at -4, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. While their recent form has been poor, with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, they have shown resilience at home. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is positioned 13th in the standings with 12 points, having won three, drawn three, and lost seven matches. They share the same goal tally as Sandefjord, but their defensive issues are evident with 21 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -8. Their recent form is concerning, as they have not won in their last five matches, recording four losses and just one draw. The model gives Sandefjord a win probability of approximately 55%, with the potential for a 2-1 outcome. A key market percentage suggests that there is a 60% chance for Sandefjord to win. However, if Sandefjord's poor form continues, particularly at home, they could struggle to secure the victory. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Sandefjord Win49%2.00
Draw22%3.57
KFUM Oslo Win29%3.37
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5957.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6855.3%

Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Sandefjord 1-1 KFUM Oslo
6.7015.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Sandefjord -0.5
1.9743%

Sandefjord have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.70
15.0%
2-1
7.89
12.8%
1-0
8.26
12.1%
2-0
10.15
9.9%
1-2
10.81
9.4%
0-1
11.21
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Sandefjord
-0.0
1.49
KFUM Oslo
+0.0
2.55
Sandefjord
-0.3
1.75
KFUM Oslo
+0.3
2.82
Sandefjord
-0.5
1.97
KFUM Oslo
+0.5
3.10
Sandefjord
-1.5
3.50
KFUM Oslo
+1.5
7.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sandefjord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.003.653.351.702.101.572.20
Marathonbet
1.983.583.481.692.131.572.22
Betfair
1.953.703.301.672.151.602.30
Pinnacle
2.043.753.621.722.18
SBO
1.993.263.141.702.16
William Hill
2.003.403.301.622.20
Bet365
2.003.603.401.672.151.622.20
1xBet
2.033.663.561.712.161.572.26
Unibet
2.063.603.251.602.141.532.30
888Sport
2.003.403.301.672.101.622.20
Betano
2.003.703.351.702.121.602.18
Superbet
2.023.553.401.672.121.582.25
BetVictor
1.953.503.401.662.051.572.25

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XSandefjord or Draw
71%1.29
12Sandefjord or KFUM Oslo
78%1.26
X2Draw or KFUM Oslo
51%1.76

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Sandefjord leads 6-1)
6 Sandefjord3 Draw1 KFUM Oslo
07 Apr
KFUM Oslo
1-2
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Nov 25
Sandefjord
2-0
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
Mar 25
KFUM Oslo
3-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Mar 25
Sandefjord
1-0
KFUM Oslo
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 24
Sandefjord
2-1
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
Jun 24
KFUM Oslo
3-3
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Feb 23
KFUM Oslo
0-3
Sandefjord
Friendlies Clubs
Mar 20
KFUM Oslo
1-1
Sandefjord
Friendlies Clubs
Sept 19
KFUM Oslo
3-3
Sandefjord
1. Division
Mar 19
Sandefjord
1-0
KFUM Oslo
1. Division

In their last 10 encounters, Sandefjord has won 6 times, KFUM Oslo has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. This record indicates a clear advantage for Sandefjord, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure narrow victories, with several matches ending in 1-0 or 2-1. The most recent win for KFUM Oslo dates back to March 2025, suggesting a struggle to overcome Sandefjord in recent matchups. While there have been some high-scoring draws, the overall results show that Sandefjord has been dominant in this head-to-head series.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bodo/Glimt
16122241113038
WWWWW
2
Viking
15121237142337
WDWWL
3
Tromso
16104232171534
WWWDD
4
Lillestrom
158162218425
LLWWL
5
Molde
157352822624
DWLDW
6
Brann
167183327622
WLWWL
12
Sandefjord
154381321-815
LLLDL
13
KFUM Oslo
154381726-915
WLLLD
14
Aalesund
152762135-1413
LDLDD
15
Kristiansund BK
153391325-1212
LLDLL
16
Start
1624101637-2110
LWLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
SandefjordHome
2W3D2L
7 playedGF 6 · GA 81.29 pts/game
KFUM OsloAway
0W2D4L
6 playedGF 7 · GA 150.33 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
SandefjordKFUM Oslo
1.36Goals p.g.1.19
1.28Goals conceded p.g.1.89
36%Clean sheets19%
48%Win rate22%
2.64Avg goals in match3.07
1.01xG per game1.01
0.06xGA per game-0.43
52%Possession %41%
3.9Shots on target / game3.9
5.8Corners per game3.3
Sandefjord
Recent Form

Sandefjord have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Sandefjord 0-3 and drew with Sandefjord 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 9L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SandefjordAll competitions
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0-3
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
18 Jul
Viking
2-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
30 May
Molde
2-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
25 May
Sandefjord
1-1
Fredrikstad
Eliteserien
16 May
Lillestrom
3-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
12
Win
48%
4
Draw
16%
9
Lost
36%
KFUM Oslo
Recent Form

KFUM Oslo have won 0 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lillestrom 2-1 and lost to Vendsyssel FF 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 14L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: KFUM OsloAll competitions
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2-4
Molde
Eliteserien
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2-1
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
04 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
2-0
KFUM Oslo
Friendlies Clubs
21 Jun
Molde
5-1
KFUM Oslo
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
KFUM Oslo
0-0
Tromso
Eliteserien
25 May
KFUM Oslo
2-0
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
6
Win
22%
7
Draw
26%
14
Lost
52%

Lineups

Confirmed

Sandefjord4-1-4-1Confirmed

4Fredrik Carson PedersenDEF
3Vetle Walle EgeliDEF
44Xander LambrixDEF
13Rasmus HoltenDEF
24Sebastian Holm MathisenFWD
30Elias HadayaGK
7Evangelos PatoulidisMID
19Bendik BerntsenMID
37Jakob VesterMID
14Edvard PettersenMID
6Sander Risan MörkMID
16Hakon KrogelienDEF
2Martin HellanDEF
31Henrik SkrettebergDEF
27Jakob Maslo DunsbyFWD
32Daniel SkaarudFWD
17Foster ApetorgborFWD
1Alf GrønnebergGK
18Mathias SauerMID
21Jakob SwiftMID

KFUM Oslo3-4-3Confirmed

5Fredrik Tobias BerglieDEF
13Brage SkaretDEF
2Daniel SchneiderDEF
23Magnus Wolff EikremFWD
18Rasmus Eggen VingeFWD
10Bilal NjieFWD
25Havar JensenGK
14Hakon Helland HosethMID
16Jonas Lange HjorthMID
7Robin RaschMID
27Tore Andre SorasMID
4Momodou Lion NjieDEF
21Sander Hansen SjøkvistDEF
19Eirik Franke SaunesDEF
11Moussa NjieFWD
42David Hickson GyeduFWD
22Bjorn Martin KristensenFWD
29Isaiah Zion Kabi SkovsgaardFWD
31Darian MinkGK
9Martin Tangen VinjorMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sandefjord

No reported absences

KFUM Oslo

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (55.3%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (57.9%)
Value Bets
Sandefjord Win2.00 (49%)
KFUM Oslo Win3.37 (28.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.13 (44.7%)
BTTS No2.23 (42.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.57 (22.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Haugen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Haugen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Sandefjord have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Sandefjord have generated 1.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sandefjord player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.