Sandefjord vs Start Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sandefjord vs Start
Match Preview
The model favours Sandefjord to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 12th place, Sandefjord has shown signs of improvement, particularly in their recent form with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five matches. Their goal difference of -8 indicates they have struggled defensively, but their ability to score 16 goals this season suggests they can find the net against weaker opposition. On the other hand, Start finds themselves at the bottom of the standings in 16th place. With only three wins from 19 matches, their season has been challenging, reflected in a goal difference of -21. Despite a brief resurgence with three wins in their last five matches, their overall record indicates significant defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 41 goals so far. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Sandefjord, with a projected score of 2-1. While Sandefjord's recent form is encouraging, a lack of consistency could lead to an upset, especially if they fail to convert chances or if their defence falters. For full details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Sandefjord have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sandefjord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sandefjord vs Start| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.09 | 3.50 | 3.22 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.17 | 3.69 | 3.31 | 1.65 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 3.41 | 2.99 | 1.64 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.14 | 3.59 | 3.30 | 1.64 | 2.28 | 1.51 | 2.39 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sandefjord leads 4-1)In the last 10 encounters between Sandefjord and Start, Sandefjord has won 4 matches, there have been 4 draws, and Start has secured only 1 victory. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive results. Notably, Sandefjord has recorded two heavy wins, including a 4-1 victory, while Start's lone win came in a tight 1-0 match. The frequency of draws indicates that these teams often play closely contested matches, with Sandefjord having the upper hand historically.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 | DDWLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjord have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Viking 1-1 and drew with Brann 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 10L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Start have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Start 2-0 and beat Flekkefjord 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 16L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSandefjord
No reported absences
Start
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Espen Eskas has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Espen Eskas to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sandefjord have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Start 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sandefjord have generated 1.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sandefjord player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
