SC Braga vs GIL Vicente Prediction, Tips & Odds
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente
Match Preview
The model favours SC Braga to win against GIL Vicente, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Currently sitting in 9th place, Braga has had a mixed start to the season with three wins, two draws, and two losses from seven matches. They have scored eight goals while conceding the same number, indicating a balanced but underwhelming performance thus far. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with one win, one draw, and three losses in the last five matches. On the other hand, GIL Vicente occupies 7th place, also with 11 points from seven games, boasting a similar record of three wins, two draws, and two losses. They have managed six goals while allowing five, reflecting a slightly stronger defense compared to Braga. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their momentum heading into this fixture. The model gives SC Braga a 59.6% chance of winning this match, with a draw at 24.5% and GIL Vicente at 15.8%. While the data suggests Braga has the upper hand, a caveat exists in their recent form, as they have struggled to find consistency. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
SC Braga have kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches. GIL Vicente average 1.4 goals per game.
SC Braga manage games at home, conceding just 0.93 goals per match. GIL Vicente score 1.37 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.
SC Braga have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 SC Braga win as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature SC Braga clean sheets, in line with their 50% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. SC Braga are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.55 | 3.86 | 5.85 | 2.02 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 1.56 | 3.92 | 6.24 | 2.08 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.50 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.57 | 3.75 | 6.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 1.62 | 4.03 | 6.10 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.69 | |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.75 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (SC Braga leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between SC Braga and GIL Vicente, SC Braga has won 5 times, GIL Vicente has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three that ended in draws. Notably, GIL Vicente has managed to secure some narrow victories, but SC Braga has had the upper hand overall, with only one match featuring a scoreline greater than a one-goal margin. GIL Vicente's last win against SC Braga was in March 2022, suggesting a recent trend of Braga's dominance in this fixture.
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | LDWLW |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSC Braga have won 13 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SC Braga 1-3 and beat SC Braga 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 12D 8L from the last 44 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
GIL Vicente have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat GIL Vicente 2-3 and beat Moreirense 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 10D 9L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSC Braga
No reported absences
GIL Vicente
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Fabio Verissimo has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Fabio Verissimo to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
SC Braga have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; GIL Vicente 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SC Braga have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SC Braga player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
