Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Preview
The model favours Shenyang Urban to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Shenyang Urban currently sits in 10th place in the league after 19 matches, having accumulated 21 points with a record of six wins, three draws, and ten losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -6, their ability to score 25 goals highlights a relatively potent attack, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu is positioned just below in 11th place with 20 points from 20 matches. They have a similar win total of six but have struggled more defensively, conceding 37 goals and posting a goal difference of -9. Their recent form, with only one win in the last five matches, raises questions about their consistency and ability to secure points away from home. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Shenyang Urban, with a notable market percentage indicating they might cover the spread. However, a potential caveat is the inconsistency displayed by both teams, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains our in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Shenyang Urban have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Shenyang Urban are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.55 | 2.90 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.45 | 2.45 | |
| 2.33 | 3.64 | 2.67 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 1.46 | 2.49 | |
| 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.63 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.28 | 3.78 | 2.93 | 1.58 | 2.40 | — | — | |
| 2.02 | 3.17 | 2.71 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.40 | 3.74 | 2.75 | 1.60 | 2.37 | 1.46 | 2.53 | |
| 2.17 | 3.65 | 2.85 | 1.48 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Sichuan Jiuniu leads 6-0)In the last eight matches between Shenyang Urban and Sichuan Jiuniu, Shenyang Urban has not won, with two draws and six victories for Sichuan Jiuniu. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for Sichuan Jiuniu, as they have secured four wins by at least two goals, including a 3-0 victory. The two draws show some competitive balance, but overall, Shenyang Urban has struggled to find success, with their last win against Sichuan Jiuniu occurring over three years ago. This head-to-head record reveals a pattern of dominance by Sichuan Jiuniu in recent encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 8 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 | WLWLL |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 24 | LLWLD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShenyang Urban have won 9 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 1-2 and beat Shanghai Shenhua 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 14L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 4-0 and lost to Yunnan Yukun 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 17L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedShenyang Urban4-1-4-1Confirmed
Sichuan Jiuniu4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersShenyang Urban
No reported absences
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shenyang Urban have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Sichuan Jiuniu 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shenyang Urban have generated 1.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shenyang Urban player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.