ST Mirren vs Celtic Prediction, Tips & Odds
ST Mirren vs Celtic
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against ST Mirren, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Celtic currently sits at the top of the Premiership table, having won both of their opening matches and scored six goals while conceding just one. Their goal difference of +5 reflects their strong offensive and defensive capabilities, making them a formidable opponent early in the season. ST Mirren is performing well, positioned third with two wins from two matches and a perfect defensive record, having not conceded a goal yet. Their goal difference of +3 demonstrates their effectiveness on both ends of the pitch. However, the competition has been less intense compared to Celtic's, who have faced stronger opposition in their first two games. The model indicates a high probability of a Celtic victory, with the projected score reinforcing their status as favourites. While Celtic's strong form suggests they should secure the win, an unexpected lapse in concentration or an inspired performance from ST Mirren could change the outcome. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Celtic win as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
ST Mirren vs Celtic| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.40 | 4.65 | 1.39 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 7.80 | 4.55 | 1.38 | 1.52 | 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 8.00 | 4.20 | 1.40 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 7.75 | 4.55 | 1.39 | 1.52 | 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
| 6.25 | 4.40 | 1.43 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
Betano | 8.25 | 4.80 | 1.38 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Celtic leads 8-1)Celtic hold the edge in this fixture, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 1 ST Mirren win. The record points to a tie Celtic have controlled for years, though the draws show ST Mirren have at times kept it tight.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | ST Mirren | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WWL |
| 4 |  Dundee | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 5 |  Hibernian | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 6 |  Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDW |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonST Mirren have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Motherwell 3-3 and beat ST Johnstone 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 12L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Celtic have won 8 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lask Linz 5-1 and beat Dundee Utd 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 5L from the last 31 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersST Mirren
No reported absences
Celtic
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
ST Mirren have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Celtic 6.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 2.49 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.