Torino vs AS Roma Prediction, Tips & Odds
Torino vs AS Roma
Match Preview
The model favours AS Roma to win against Torino, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. AS Roma currently sits in 7th place in Serie A, having won their opening match of the season with a convincing 4-0 victory. This strong start showcases their offensive capabilities, evidenced by their goal difference of +4. With a solid attacking presence, Roma will look to maintain their momentum as they face Torino. On the other hand, Torino finds themselves in 15th place, having lost both of their opening matches. Despite scoring two goals, they have conceded four, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Roma's attack. Torino's recent form has been inconsistent, with only two victories in their last five matches, raising concerns about their ability to turn around their poor start to the season. The model indicates a 52.3% win probability for AS Roma, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is that if Torino can tighten their defense and capitalize on any mistakes made by Roma, they may be able to secure a result. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
AS Roma have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 AS Roma win as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. AS Roma are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Torino vs AS Roma| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 6.35 | 4.30 | 1.54 | 1.75 | 2.11 | 1.81 | 1.89 | |
| 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 6.41 | 4.34 | 1.54 | 1.75 | 2.18 | — | — | |
| 4.84 | 3.72 | 1.53 | 1.78 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 5.80 | 4.00 | 1.53 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.95 | |
| 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.58 | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.81 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 5.90 | 4.40 | 1.60 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (AS Roma leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Torino and AS Roma, AS Roma leads with 6 wins, compared to Torino's 2 victories and 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for AS Roma to secure narrow wins, as evidenced by four matches being decided by a single goal. However, there are also instances of more comfortable victories for AS Roma, including a 3-0 win and two 2-0 wins. Torino's last victory over AS Roma came in January 2026, suggesting a challenging period for them against this opponent. Overall, the record reflects a slight dominance by AS Roma in this matchup.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTorino have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Torino 0-2 and lost to Torino 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 14L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
AS Roma have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Torino 0-2 and drew with Fenerbahçe 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 7L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTorino5-3-2Confirmed
AS Roma3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersTorino4
AS Roma2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Maresca has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by F. Maresca to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Torino have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; AS Roma 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
AS Roma have generated 2.36 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AS Roma player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
