Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Union St. Gilloise to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Union St. Gilloise has shown strong form recently, winning four of their last five matches. This run includes an impressive streak of victories that highlights their attacking capabilities. While specific season stats are not available, their current momentum suggests they are well-prepared for this crucial match. Bodo/Glimt, on the other hand, has also been in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. Their consistency will be a significant factor as they look to challenge Union St. Gilloise. However, without detailed standings or stats, it is difficult to gauge how they compare to their opponents in the long term. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Union St. Gilloise, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if Bodo/Glimt can maintain their unbeaten streak and capitalise on any defensive lapses, they could very well upset the prediction. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Union St. Gilloise have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Union St. Gilloise are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.24 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.29 | 3.54 | 3.20 | 1.74 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 2.37 | 3.64 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 2.39 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.12 | 2.77 | 1.72 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.29 | 3.54 | 3.20 | 1.77 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.28 | |
| 2.18 | 3.65 | 2.95 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
Superbet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.05 | 1.74 | 2.10 | 1.59 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt shows 0 wins for Union St. Gilloise, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt. Their only encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating a tightly contested match with no goals scored. This suggests that the teams may have been evenly matched in that fixture, with neither side able to assert dominance. As there is only one match to consider, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the lack of scoring points to a potential for low-scoring outcomes in future meetings.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonUnion St. Gilloise have won 16 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Bodo/Glimt 3-3 and beat Lille 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 8D 3L from the last 31 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 11 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Valerenga 1-2 and drew with Union St. Gilloise 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 5D 4L from the last 36 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedUnion St. Gilloise3-4-1-2Confirmed
Bodo/Glimt4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersUnion St. Gilloise
No reported absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
I. Peljto has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Union St. Gilloise have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Union St. Gilloise have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Union St. Gilloise player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
