Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia Prediction, Tips & Odds
Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia
Match Preview
The model favours Universitatea Craiova to win the match against Levski Sofia, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Universitatea Craiova has shown strong form recently, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This positive run indicates a solid level of performance as they head into this crucial qualifying match. Levski Sofia is also in good form, mirroring Craiova's recent results with three wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. This consistency suggests they will pose a significant challenge. However, the lack of specific season standings and overall statistics makes it difficult to fully assess their relative strengths in the broader context of the tournament. According to the model's calculations, Universitatea Craiova has a win probability that slightly edges out Levski Sofia. However, there is always the possibility that the pressure of the Champions League qualifiers could affect performance levels. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employed an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Universitatea Craiova have kept a clean sheet in 62% of matches. Levski Sofia average 2.1 goals per game.
Universitatea Craiova manage games at home, conceding just 0.54 goals per match. Levski Sofia score 2.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Universitatea Craiova have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Universitatea Craiova clean sheets, in line with their 62% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Universitatea Craiova are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.97 | 3.32 | 3.80 | 2.13 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.81 | |
| 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 1.97 | 3.36 | 3.86 | 2.18 | 1.69 | — | — | |
| 1.90 | 3.00 | 3.47 | 2.06 | 1.72 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.70 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 2.01 | 3.38 | 3.87 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 1.87 | 1.83 | |
| 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.74 | 1.79 | 1.88 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.80 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
Superbet | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Levski Sofia leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, Levski Sofia has a 1-0 victory over Universitatea Craiova. This match indicates a tight contest, with Levski Sofia securing a narrow win. The scoreline suggests that while the game was competitive, it ultimately favored Levski Sofia, leaving Universitatea Craiova without a win in this head-to-head matchup. As there is only one fixture to analyze, it does not provide a broader trend, but Levski Sofia currently holds the advantage in their historical meetings.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonUniversitatea Craiova have won 5 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat ML Vitebsk 1-0 and drew with Universitatea Cluj 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 0L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Levski Sofia have won 1 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Borac Banja Luka 1-1 and drew with CSKA 1948 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 1L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedUniversitatea Craiova3-4-3Confirmed
Levski Sofia4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersUniversitatea Craiova
No reported absences
Levski Sofia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Marcenaro has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Marcenaro to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Universitatea Craiova average 1.5 goals per match at home; Levski Sofia 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Universitatea Craiova have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Universitatea Craiova player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
