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Viking vs Bayern München Prediction, Tips & Odds

Viking vs Bayern München

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2
Viking
#29 · UEFA Champions League
WWWWL
VS
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger
Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov
Bayern München
#2 · UEFA Champions League
DWWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 (implied 58.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.1% vs 58.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. The price even sits above our fair value, so you are paid more than the true probability suggests.

Match Preview

The model favours Bayern München to win this match against Viking, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Bayern has been in exceptional form this season, winning all of their last five matches. Their consistency is highlighted by their ability to maintain a perfect record, which speaks volumes about their offensive and defensive capabilities. While specific league positions and season stats are not available, their current form indicates they are a dominant force in the group stage. On the other hand, Viking has shown resilience with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Although they have managed to secure victories, their overall standing and season performance details are not provided, making it difficult to fully assess their competitive edge against a team of Bayern's calibre. Viking will need to elevate their game significantly to challenge the German giants. According to the model, Bayern München has a strong win probability for this match. However, one caveat is that if Viking manages to score early or disrupt Bayern's rhythm, it could lead to an unexpected outcome. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team remains committed to providing data-driven insights for this fixture.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Viking Win19%19.75
Draw11%12.42
Bayern München Win70%1.09
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7162.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.1379.2%

Combined goal output is high (5.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Viking 0-3 Bayern München
8.9011.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Bayern München -0.0
1.0264%

Bayern München have been the stronger side, winning 77% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-3
8.90
11.3%
0-4
9.37
10.7%
1-3
10.33
9.7%
1-4
11.01
9.1%
0-2
11.01
9.1%
0-5
12.04
8.3%

Our model projects a 0-3 Bayern München win as the most likely scoreline at 11.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Viking
-0.0
17.00
Bayern München
+0.0
1.02

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bayern München are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Viking vs Bayern München
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
21.0013.001.091.114.951.731.99
Betfair
21.0013.001.101.116.001.732.10
Pinnacle
18.2514.101.09————
SBO
12.528.681.09————
William Hill
21.0013.001.08——1.732.10
Bet365
15.0012.001.111.145.501.672.10
1xBet
25.0015.501.101.114.951.732.02
Betano
22.0010.501.101.185.001.722.05
BetVictor
22.0012.001.081.115.751.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
97.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
79.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
66.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XViking or Draw
30%7.73
12Viking or Bayern München
89%1.04
X2Draw or Bayern München
81%1.01

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

UEFA Champions League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Paris Saint Germain
11006153
W
2
Bayern München
11005053
W
3
Barcelona
11005143
W
4
Manchester United
11004043
W
5
Como
11004133
W
6
VfB Stuttgart
11003123
W
29
Viking
100113-20
L
34
Sabah FA
100104-40
L
35
Slovan Bratislava
100116-50
L
36
Bodo/Glimt
100105-50
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
VikingHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
Bayern MünchenAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
VikingBayern München
2.5Goals p.g.3.08
0.93Goals conceded p.g.1.23
35%Clean sheets26%
72%Win rate77%
3.42Avg goals in match4.31
1.76xG per game2.39
0.08xGA per game-0.39
51%Possession %69%
5.5Shots on target / game7.3
7.6Corners per game6.5
Viking
Recent Form

Viking have won 16 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 3-0 and beat Viking 8-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 29W 6D 5L from the last 40 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: VikingAll competitions
09 Oct
Brann
0-2
Viking
Eliteserien
01 Oct
Madla
0-3
Viking
NM Cupen
20 Sept
Viking
3-0
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
13 Sept
Viking
8-1
Kristiansund BK
Eliteserien
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3-1
Viking
UEFA Champions League
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1-1
Viking
Eliteserien
29
Win
73%
6
Draw
15%
5
Lost
13%
Bayern München
Recent Form

Bayern München have won 15 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Bayern München 2-2 and beat SV Elversberg 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 30W 6D 3L from the last 39 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bayern MünchenAll competitions
10 Oct
FC Augsburg
2-2
Bayern München
Bundesliga
18 Sept
Bayern München
7-0
Union Berlin
Bundesliga
13 Sept
SV Elversberg
1-2
Bayern München
Bundesliga
10 Sept
Bayern München
5-0
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
05 Sept
FC Schalke 04
0-0
Bayern München
Bundesliga
02 Sept
VfL Osnabrück
1-4
Bayern München
DFB Pokal
30
Win
77%
6
Draw
15%
3
Lost
8%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Viking

No reported absences

Bayern München

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Bayern München Win1.09 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.13 (79.2%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (62.1%)
Value Bets
BTTS No2.07 (37.9%)
Speculative
Viking Win19.75 (19.1%)
Draw12.42 (10.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals5.36 (20.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Georgi Nikolov Kabakov has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Viking have averaged 7.6 corners per match at home; Bayern München 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Bayern München have generated 2.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 77% of them. They put 7.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bayern München player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.