Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction, Tips & Odds
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Match Preview
The model favours Vikingur Reykjavik to win this match against Hapoel Beer Sheva, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Vikingur Reykjavik has shown a solid performance recently, with a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This form indicates a team that is capable of finding results when it matters, which could play a crucial role in this knockout stage of the Champions League. In contrast, Hapoel Beer Sheva has struggled, managing only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games. This disappointing run could impact their confidence going into the fixture. The team will need to find a way to turn their form around quickly if they wish to compete effectively against a Vikingur side that appears to be in better shape. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Vikingur Reykjavik, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that Hapoel Beer Sheva's experience in European competitions could help them pull off an upset, especially if they manage to stabilize their form. The full methodology behind this prediction, which utilizes expected goals and actual results from the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Vikingur Reykjavik have been the stronger side, winning 78% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Vikingur Reykjavik are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.46 | 3.55 | 2.62 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.63 | 2.23 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.43 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.62 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.33 | 3.21 | 2.44 | 1.60 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.53 | 3.50 | 2.61 | 1.66 | 2.17 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
| 2.43 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 1.70 | 1.98 | 1.58 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 2.52 | 3.35 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.65 | 2.12 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Vikingur Reykjavik and Hapoel Beer Sheva shows one match played, resulting in one draw. The scoreline of 0-0 indicates a tightly contested fixture, with neither team able to find the back of the net. This lack of scoring suggests that both defenses were solid, leading to a stalemate. As there have been no wins for either side in this matchup, it remains to be seen how future encounters will unfold.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVikingur Reykjavik have won 6 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Vikingur Reykjavik 5-1 and beat Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 1D 3L from the last 18 games (78% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 and lost to Legia Warszawa 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 5L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVikingur Reykjavik
No reported absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Hapoel Beer Sheva 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Vikingur Reykjavik have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 78% of their matches and averaging 2.9 goals per game. They put 2.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Vikingur Reykjavik player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
