WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg Prediction, Tips & Odds
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg
Match Preview
The model favours WSG Wattens to win this match against TSV Hartberg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. WSG Wattens currently sits in 8th place in the Bundesliga standings with 4 points from 4 matches. Their season has been a mixed bag, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They have scored 6 goals while conceding 7, indicating a slightly leaky defence. However, their form has shown some improvement recently, with a win and a draw in their last five matches. On the other side, TSV Hartberg is positioned 5th in the league with 6 points from 5 games. Their record of 2 wins and 3 losses suggests inconsistency, particularly in their defensive capabilities, as they have conceded 8 goals while scoring only 5. Their recent form has been concerning, with two wins followed by three consecutive losses, which could impact their confidence going into this fixture. According to the model, WSG Wattens has a win probability of around 55%, while TSV Hartberg's chances sit at about 25%. The key market percentage for WSG Wattens winning is noted at 45%. One caveat to consider is that if Hartberg can tighten their defence and regain their scoring touch, they could pose a significant threat. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
WSG Wattens have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. WSG Wattens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.08 | 3.46 | 3.30 | 1.79 | 1.99 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 2.10 | 3.46 | 3.30 | 1.79 | 1.99 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (TSV Hartberg leads 6-2)TSV Hartberg hold the edge in this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings with 2 draws and 2 WSG Wattens wins. The record points to a tie TSV Hartberg have controlled for years, though the draws show WSG Wattens have at times kept it tight.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 | WWDW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | DLDW |
| 8 | WSG Wattens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 10 |  Grazer AK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Austria Vienna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | LWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWSG Wattens have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to WSG Wattens 0-3 and lost to WSG Wattens 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 13L from the last 29 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
TSV Hartberg have won 6 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat SCR Altach 1-2 and beat Imst 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 8L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWSG Wattens
No reported absences
TSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
WSG Wattens have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; TSV Hartberg 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
WSG Wattens have generated 0.92 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. WSG Wattens player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.