Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours SHANGHAI SIPG to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Wuhan Three Towns. SHANGHAI SIPG currently sits in 13th place in the league, having accumulated 19 points from 19 matches. With 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, their goal difference of +4 indicates a more robust attack compared to their opponents. SHANGHAI SIPG has shown some resilience, particularly in their recent form, where they have secured two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns finds themselves in a precarious 15th position with only 14 points from 19 games. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses highlights a struggling season, and their goal difference of -7 suggests defensive vulnerabilities. While they managed to win two of their last five, the inconsistency in their performances has been a significant concern throughout the season. According to the model, SHANGHAI SIPG has a higher win probability, with key market indicators reflecting their stronger standing. However, a potential caveat could be the pressure of playing away from home, which may affect their performance. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.88 | 3.65 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.45 | |
| 2.91 | 3.62 | 2.18 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.98 | 3.83 | 2.26 | 1.55 | 2.52 | — | — | |
| 2.89 | 3.20 | 1.92 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 3.08 | 3.71 | 2.21 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.07 | 1.54 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 3.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.37 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
Superbet | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.02 | 1.55 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.15 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 7-2)In the last nine matches between Wuhan Three Towns and SHANGHAI SIPG, SHANGHAI SIPG has won seven times, while Wuhan Three Towns has secured two victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a predominantly one-sided rivalry, with SHANGHAI SIPG achieving several convincing wins, including a 4-0 and multiple 2-0 victories. Wuhan Three Towns' two wins were both narrow, highlighting their struggles against SHANGHAI SIPG. Notably, Wuhan Three Towns last defeated SHANGHAI SIPG in July 2022, suggesting a challenging trend for them in recent encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 48 | LWLDD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 36 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 36 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Dalian Zhixing | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 33 | DLWDL |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 | LWWWL |
| 10 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 18 | DLLWW |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 16 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tianjin Teda 0-0 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 12D 15L from the last 32 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 and beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 11D 13L from the last 34 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.