Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win against Dalian Zhixing, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in 4th place in the league, having accumulated 28 points from 21 matches with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. Their goal difference of +1 indicates they have scored slightly more than they have conceded, with a total of 42 goals scored and 41 against. However, their recent form has been less than stellar, with just one win in their last five matches. On the other side, Dalian Zhixing is positioned 3rd in the league with 29 points from 20 games, boasting 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. Their goal difference of -5 suggests they have struggled defensively, conceding 36 goals while scoring only 31. Their recent form shows some promise, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating they are capable of competing at a higher level despite their overall goal stats. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Yunnan Yukun, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat for the favourite is their inconsistency, as they have only managed one victory in their last five games, which could leave them vulnerable. The full methodology of the prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.06 | 3.95 | 2.85 | 1.36 | 2.95 | 1.33 | 2.85 | |
| 2.08 | 3.88 | 2.94 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 2.98 | |
| 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.10 | |
| 2.16 | 4.18 | 2.96 | 1.38 | 3.10 | — | — | |
| 2.11 | 3.40 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.88 | — | — | 1.35 | 3.00 | |
| 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.14 | 4.00 | 3.02 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 3.04 | |
| 2.02 | 3.80 | 3.05 | 1.35 | 2.85 | 1.34 | 2.88 | |
| 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.33 | 3.00 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 3.85 | 2.92 | 1.38 | 2.82 | 1.36 | 2.90 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.90 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 3.13 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Yunnan Yukun leads 4-1)The head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing stands at 4 wins for Yunnan Yukun, 2 draws, and 1 win for Dalian Zhixing over the last 7 matches. This record indicates a strong advantage for Yunnan Yukun, particularly with three of their victories coming by a margin of two or more goals, suggesting they have often been in control. Dalian Zhixing's lone win was a narrow 3-2 result, while the majority of matches have produced low-scoring draws or decisive wins for Yunnan Yukun. Dalian Zhixing has not won in the last six encounters, highlighting their struggles against this opponent.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 48 | LWLDD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 36 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 36 | WDDWW |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Dalian Zhixing | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 33 | DLWDL |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 | LWWWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 18 | DLLWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 16 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dalian Zhixing 3-1 and beat Chengdu Better City 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 11L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 2 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1 and lost to Yunnan Yukun 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 15L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedYunnan Yukun4-3-3Confirmed
Dalian Zhixing4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
