Zulte Waregem vs Genk Prediction, Tips & Odds
Zulte Waregem vs Genk
Match Preview
The model favours Zulte Waregem to win against Genk, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Zulte Waregem comes into the new season with strong momentum, having finished their previous campaign with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. This form suggests a team capable of carrying confidence into the opening game of the season, which could be crucial as they seek to establish themselves in the league. In contrast, Genk's recent form has been less favorable, with only two wins in their last five matches, alongside three losses. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to start the season on a strong note. Despite both teams starting the season at zero points, Genk will need to quickly find their rhythm if they hope to challenge for a better league position than last year. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Zulte Waregem, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market statistic is that Zulte Waregem is favored to win at approximately 1.85 odds. However, a potential caveat is that early-season matches can often lead to unpredictable outcomes as teams adjust to new strategies and player dynamics. The full methodology, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Zulte Waregem are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Zulte Waregem vs Genk| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 3.22 | 3.62 | 2.06 | 1.71 | 2.10 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.36 | 3.64 | 2.14 | 1.74 | 2.17 | — | — | |
| 2.98 | 3.28 | 2.13 | 1.71 | 2.17 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.13 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.14 | 1.73 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.18 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.22 | 1.72 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Genk leads 8-2)In the last 10 matches between Zulte Waregem and Genk, Zulte Waregem has won 2 times, while Genk has secured 8 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a notable dominance by Genk, highlighted by several heavy wins, including a 6-2 result and a 4-1 victory. Zulte Waregem's victories have been narrow, with their most recent win occurring in January 2026, suggesting a challenging trend for them against Genk. Overall, this head-to-head record shows a clear advantage for Genk, characterized by both their frequency of wins and the margin of those victories.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Charleroi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Antwerp | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Zulte Waregem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 16 |  KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  KVC Westerlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonZulte Waregem have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Zulte Waregem 3-2 and drew with Zulte Waregem 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 3D 9L from the last 26 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Genk have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Genk 2-1 and lost to Bayer Leverkusen 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 9L from the last 35 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersZulte Waregem
No reported absences
Genk
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. van Damme has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. van Damme to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Zulte Waregem average 2.0 goals per match at home; Genk 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. Zulte Waregem player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
