Anderlecht vs Kortrijk Prediction, Tips & Odds
Anderlecht vs Kortrijk
Match Preview
The model favours Anderlecht to win against Kortrijk with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Anderlecht currently sits in 8th place in the Jupiler Pro League, having secured 3 points from their opening two matches with one win and one loss. Their recent form shows a strong trend with four wins in their last five matches, indicating that they are beginning to find their rhythm. Notably, they have scored 2 goals while conceding 2, which suggests a balanced start to the season. On the other hand, Kortrijk finds themselves at the bottom of the league table in 18th position, having lost both of their opening fixtures and failing to score a single goal. With a goal difference of -6, their defensive issues are evident, and they have only managed one win in their last five matches, which reflects a struggle to find form. This poor start could weigh heavily on their confidence as they face a more established opponent. According to the model, Anderlecht has a strong win probability, with an expected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is that if Kortrijk manages to tighten their defense and find a breakthrough in attack, they could pose a challenge. The full method of our prediction comes from an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
Anderlecht have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Anderlecht win as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Anderlecht clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Anderlecht are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Anderlecht vs Kortrijk| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 1.46 | 4.50 | 6.05 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.48 | 4.71 | 5.94 | 1.56 | 2.46 | — | — | |
| 1.41 | 4.03 | 5.32 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.50 | 4.61 | 6.19 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 1.41 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 1.54 | 2.40 | 1.71 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.53 | 4.45 | 5.80 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 1.50 | 4.65 | 5.85 | 1.58 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Anderlecht leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Anderlecht and Kortrijk, Anderlecht has won 5 times, there have been 3 draws, and Kortrijk has won 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Anderlecht, with several heavy victories, including a 4-0 win and a 4-1 win. However, there have also been some close encounters, such as the 2-2 draws earlier this year. Kortrijk's last victory over Anderlecht occurred in February 2021, suggesting a struggle to maintain consistency against this opponent. Overall, the record shows Anderlecht's dominance, particularly in recent fixtures.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleroi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | LWWW |
| 3 |  Gent | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Zulte Waregem | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 |  Standard Liege | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7 | WDW |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 16 |  KVC Westerlo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 1 | DLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAnderlecht have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Anderlecht 3-0 and beat Anderlecht 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 14L from the last 36 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kortrijk have won 3 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Club Brugge KV 3-0 and lost to Harelbeke 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 8L from the last 18 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAnderlecht
No reported absences
Kortrijk
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Anderlecht average 1.6 goals per match at home; Kortrijk 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Anderlecht have generated 1.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Anderlecht player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
