Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Antwerp vs Charleroi


Match Preview
The model favours Charleroi to win against Antwerp, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Charleroi currently sits in a strong fourth position in the Jupiler Pro League, having played seven matches this season. With six wins and only one loss, they have accumulated 18 points, scoring 15 goals while conceding just 7, showcasing a solid goal difference of +8. Their recent form reflects this strength, with four wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Antwerp is struggling in 13th place with only 7 points from their seven games. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, as they have recorded just two wins alongside one draw and four losses. This poor form is evident in their last five matches, where they have not secured a victory, managing only one draw and four defeats. Their goal difference of -4 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that Charleroi is likely to exploit. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Charleroi, with Antwerp at 15%. One key market percentage indicates that Charleroi is favoured to win at approximately 55% in the betting markets. However, a potential caveat could be that if Antwerp manages to improve their defensive organization, they might pose a challenge. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it relies on an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Charleroi leads 6-3)



















In the last 10 matches between Antwerp and Charleroi, Charleroi has won 6 times, Antwerp has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters; however, Charleroi has often come out on top, including three wins by a single goal. Notably, Antwerp's victories include a heavy 4-1 win and a 5-2 win in the Cup, which contrasts with Charleroi's more consistent winning results. Antwerp's last win over Charleroi was in July 2024, suggesting a recent trend favoring Charleroi in this matchup.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 22 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 21 | WWWWL | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 20 | DWWWW | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 16 | WWWDW | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 | WWWWD | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 | LLLLL | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 | LLWLD | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 | LWLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Antwerp have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Antwerp 0-2 and lost to Antwerp 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 20L from the last 38 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













Charleroi have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Charleroi 0-1 and beat Standard Liege 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 13L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Antwerp
No reported absences
Charleroi
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.





