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Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction, Tips & Odds

Antwerp vs Charleroi

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9
Antwerp
#13 · Jupiler Pro League
WLLLL
VS
Bosuilstadion
Referee: W. Smet
Charleroi
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
WWWWL

Match Preview

The model favours Charleroi to win against Antwerp, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Charleroi currently sits in a strong fourth position in the Jupiler Pro League, having played seven matches this season. With six wins and only one loss, they have accumulated 18 points, scoring 15 goals while conceding just 7, showcasing a solid goal difference of +8. Their recent form reflects this strength, with four wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Antwerp is struggling in 13th place with only 7 points from their seven games. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, as they have recorded just two wins alongside one draw and four losses. This poor form is evident in their last five matches, where they have not secured a victory, managing only one draw and four defeats. Their goal difference of -4 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that Charleroi is likely to exploit. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Charleroi, with Antwerp at 15%. One key market percentage indicates that Charleroi is favoured to win at approximately 55% in the betting markets. However, a potential caveat could be that if Antwerp manages to improve their defensive organization, they might pose a challenge. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it relies on an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Charleroi leads 6-3)
3 Antwerp1 Draw6 Charleroi
10 Apr
Charleroi
2-1
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
25 Jan
Antwerp
0-2
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
Aug 25
Charleroi
1-1
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
May 25
Antwerp
1-2
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
Dec 24
Antwerp
1-3
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
Jul 24
Charleroi
0-1
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
Jan 24
Antwerp
4-1
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
Dec 23
Antwerp
5-2
Charleroi
Cup
Oct 23
Charleroi
3-2
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
Mar 23
Antwerp
0-1
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League

In the last 10 matches between Antwerp and Charleroi, Charleroi has won 6 times, Antwerp has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters; however, Charleroi has often come out on top, including three wins by a single goal. Notably, Antwerp's victories include a heavy 4-1 win and a 5-2 win in the Cup, which contrasts with Charleroi's more consistent winning results. Antwerp's last win over Charleroi was in July 2024, suggesting a recent trend favoring Charleroi in this matchup.

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Gent
87101541122
WWDWW
2
Club Brugge KV
87011941521
WWWWL
3
Charleroi
8701167921
WWWLW
4
Union St. Gilloise
86202241820
DWWWW
5
Anderlecht
851296316
WWWDW
6
KVC Westerlo
84132017313
WWWWD
13
Antwerp
82151220-87
LLLLL
16
RAAL La Louvière
8116818-104
LLWLD
17
Kortrijk
8107218-163
LWLLL
18
Cercle Brugge
8035916-73
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AntwerpHome
1W1D2L
4 playedGF 7 · GA 111.00 pts/game
CharleroiAway
4W0D0L
4 playedGF 6 · GA 13.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AntwerpCharleroi
1.08Goals p.g.1.5
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.28
29%Clean sheets36%
32%Win rate47%
2.58Avg goals in match2.78
1.45xG per game1.50
0.40xGA per game-0.03
44%Possession %44%
4.5Shots on target / game4.5
3.0Corners per game2.0
Antwerp
Recent Form

Antwerp have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Antwerp 0-2 and lost to Antwerp 1-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 20L from the last 38 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AntwerpAll competitions
17 Oct
Heist
0-1
Antwerp
Cup
11 Oct
KVC Westerlo
5-1
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
20 Sept
Antwerp
0-2
Union St. Gilloise
Jupiler Pro League
13 Sept
Club Brugge KV
3-1
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
05 Sept
Standard Liege
1-0
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
30 Aug
Antwerp
1-4
St. Truiden
Jupiler Pro League
12
Win
32%
6
Draw
16%
20
Lost
53%
Charleroi
Recent Form

Charleroi have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Charleroi 0-1 and beat Standard Liege 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 13L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CharleroiAll competitions
17 Oct
Albert Quévy-Mons
0-1
Charleroi
Cup
11 Oct
Standard Liege
0-1
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
19 Sept
Charleroi
3-2
Cercle Brugge
Jupiler Pro League
13 Sept
Zulte Waregem
0-1
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
05 Sept
Charleroi
2-3
Union St. Gilloise
Jupiler Pro League
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1-3
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
17
Win
47%
6
Draw
17%
13
Lost
36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Antwerp

No reported absences

Charleroi

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.