Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 Prediction, Tips & Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908
Match Preview
The model favours Asteras Tripolis to win against Iraklis 1908, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Asteras Tripolis starts the season in a strong position, currently sitting 6th in the league. Although they have yet to play a match this season, their recent form shows a mix of results with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a resilient side that can compete effectively. Conversely, Iraklis 1908 finds themselves in a challenging position after their first match of the season, having lost to their opponent by a significant margin. With no goals scored and four conceded, their early performance raises concerns about their defensive capabilities and overall team cohesion. Their last five games also reflect a struggle, with three losses and only two draws, suggesting they may need time to find their rhythm. According to the model, Asteras Tripolis has a strong win probability in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is that they are coming off a mixed prior season, which could impact their confidence against a team like Iraklis. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model uses expected goals and actual results to evaluate team performance. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is committed to providing data-driven insights for every match.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Asteras Tripolis have kept a clean sheet in 22% of matches. Iraklis 1908 average 0.9 goals per game.
Asteras Tripolis manage games at home, conceding just 1.44 goals per match. Iraklis 1908 score 0.92 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Asteras Tripolis have been the stronger side, winning 22% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Asteras Tripolis win as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Asteras Tripolis clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Asteras Tripolis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.88 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 1.91 | 1.73 | |
| 1.88 | 3.28 | 4.25 | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.97 | 1.73 | |
| 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 1.93 | 3.32 | 4.53 | 2.30 | 1.66 | — | — | |
| 1.87 | 3.05 | 3.76 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 1.90 | 3.28 | 4.24 | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.97 | 1.75 | |
| 1.98 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.04 | 1.68 | 1.85 | 1.82 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.35 | 4.30 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
Superbet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.15 | 2.27 | 1.64 | 2.02 | 1.74 |
BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Iraklis 1908 leads 1-0)Iraklis 1908 leads the head-to-head record against Asteras Tripolis with 1 win and no draws or losses. The only match between the two teams ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Iraklis 1908. This scoreline indicates a tightly contested fixture, with Asteras Tripolis yet to secure a win against Iraklis 1908. As it stands, Asteras Tripolis will be looking to change this record in future encounters.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Iraklis 1908 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | DL |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAsteras Tripolis have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 and drew with Kifisia 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 14L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Iraklis 1908 have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Iraklis 1908 1-1 and lost to AEK Athens FC 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 4D 4L from the last 12 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAsteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Iraklis 1908
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Katoikos has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Katoikos to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Asteras Tripolis have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Iraklis 1908 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Asteras Tripolis have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 22% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Asteras Tripolis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
