Atromitos vs Kalamata Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atromitos vs Kalamata
Match Preview
The model favours Kalamata to win this match against Atromitos, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Kalamata enters the match after a mixed start to the season but has shown stronger recent form. They currently sit just above Atromitos in the standings, having scored two goals while conceding three in their opening match. Their recent form, with three wins in their last five matches, suggests they are capable of creating and converting chances. On the other hand, Atromitos has yet to find their footing this season, suffering a defeat in their opening match without scoring. Their recent form, which includes three wins but also two losses, indicates some inconsistency. However, they will need to tighten their defence, as their goal difference reflects vulnerability at the back. The model gives Kalamata a win probability of approximately 55% for this fixture. While they are expected to come out on top, a potential caveat is Atromitos' home advantage, which could influence the match dynamics. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Atromitos manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Kalamata score 1.57 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Our model projects a 1-0 Atromitos win as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Atromitos clean sheets, in line with their 40% clean-sheet rate this season.
Best Betting Odds
Atromitos vs Kalamata| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 6 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | LW |
| 11 | Atromitos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 12 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtromitos have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Atromitos 3-1 and beat Atromitos 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 7L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kalamata have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kalamata 2-0 and beat Volos NFC 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 1D 3L from the last 14 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtromitos
No reported absences
Kalamata
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Atromitos average 1.6 goals per match at home; Kalamata 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Atromitos have generated 1.31 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atromitos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
