Atromitos vs Kalamata Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atromitos vs Kalamata
Match Preview
The model favours Kalamata to win this match against Atromitos, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Kalamata enters the match after a mixed start to the season but has shown stronger recent form. They currently sit just above Atromitos in the standings, having scored two goals while conceding three in their opening match. Their recent form, with three wins in their last five matches, suggests they are capable of creating and converting chances. On the other hand, Atromitos has yet to find their footing this season, suffering a defeat in their opening match without scoring. Their recent form, which includes three wins but also two losses, indicates some inconsistency. However, they will need to tighten their defence, as their goal difference reflects vulnerability at the back. The model gives Kalamata a win probability of approximately 55% for this fixture. While they are expected to come out on top, a potential caveat is Atromitos' home advantage, which could influence the match dynamics. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Atromitos manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Kalamata score 1.60 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Atromitos have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Atromitos clean sheets, in line with their 41% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Atromitos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atromitos vs Kalamata| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 2.03 | 1.76 | 1.86 | 1.82 | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.86 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 2.09 | 1.79 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 1.82 | 3.60 | 4.18 | 2.03 | 1.76 | 1.86 | 1.84 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)Atromitos and Kalamata have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 1 draws across the last 1 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11 | Atromitos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 12 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtromitos have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Atromitos 1-2 and beat Atromitos 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 8L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kalamata have won 5 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kalamata 2-2 and lost to Panetolikos 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 2D 3L from the last 15 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtromitos
No reported absences
Kalamata
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
P. Koukoulas has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by P. Koukoulas to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Atromitos have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Kalamata 1.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atromitos have generated 1.32 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atromitos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
