Levadiakos vs Panetolikos Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levadiakos vs Panetolikos
Match Preview
The model favours Levadiakos to win against Panetolikos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Levadiakos enters the new season with a solid recent form, having won four of their last five matches. Their current league position is 8th, but they have the momentum from their previous performances, which can be crucial as they look to establish themselves early in the season. The combination of a strong winning streak and a positive goal differential from last season suggests they are well-prepared for this matchup. On the other hand, Panetolikos has struggled recently, managing no wins in their last five games, with two draws and three losses. This lack of form may impact their confidence as they begin the new campaign. Positioned 9th in the standings, they will need to turn things around quickly to avoid falling further behind. Their recent results indicate a team that is struggling to find its rhythm, and this could be a significant disadvantage against a more confident Levadiakos side. The model indicates Levadiakos has a higher win probability, reflecting their recent form and potential to perform well. However, a caveat to consider is that both teams are starting the season fresh, and early matches can sometimes yield unexpected results. The full methodology behind this prediction, which incorporates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is provided in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Levadiakos manage games at home, conceding just 1.75 goals per match. Panetolikos score 1.11 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
Levadiakos have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Levadiakos win as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Levadiakos clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Levadiakos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levadiakos vs Panetolikos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.56 | 4.00 | 5.93 | — | — | — | — | |
Betano | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Levadiakos leads 3-1)In the last 10 matches between Levadiakos and Panetolikos, Levadiakos has won 3 times, there have been 6 draws, and Panetolikos has won once. This record indicates a strong tendency for tightly contested matches, with half of the encounters ending in draws. The scorelines reflect a mix of narrow victories and a notably heavy 6-0 win for Levadiakos. Panetolikos last secured a victory over Levadiakos in May 2025, highlighting a challenging trend for them in recent fixtures. Overall, the head-to-head results suggest a competitive rivalry with no clear dominant side.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 6 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | LW |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLevadiakos have won 5 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Levadiakos 2-0 and beat Levadiakos 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 9L from the last 20 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Panetolikos have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kalamata 4-2 and drew with Estac Troyes 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 13L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLevadiakos
No reported absences
Panetolikos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Levadiakos have averaged 2.5 corners per match at home; Panetolikos 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Levadiakos have generated 1.66 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Levadiakos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
