Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Atromitos vs Kifisia Prediction, Tips & Odds

Atromitos vs Kifisia

Super League 1Regular Season - 5
Atromitos
#11 · Super League 1
WLLWW
1 - 2
Peristeri Stadium, Peristeri
Referee: Meletios Gioumatzidis
Kifisia
#9 · Super League 1
DDWDL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.72
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 62.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.60). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.4% vs 59.9%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Kifisia to win against Atromitos, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Kifisia currently sits in 9th place, having played one match this season, where they secured a draw. Their season form shows a mixed bag, with three draws in their last five matches, indicating a resilient side that can hold their ground. The one key statistic to note is that Kifisia has managed to keep their goal difference at zero, suggesting they have been defensively sound despite not yet securing a victory. Atromitos, on the other hand, finds themselves in 11th place and has struggled significantly, losing both of their opening fixtures without scoring more than one goal in total. Their recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, but this is somewhat misleading as it reflects past performance rather than their current struggles. The team has yet to find their footing this season, which could be a concern as they look to turn their fortunes around. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Kifisia, with a projected score of 1-0. One caveat is that Atromitos may exploit their home advantage, which could lead to unexpected results. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Atromitos Win46%2.24
Draw25%3.14
Kifisia Win29%3.22
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8750.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6754.8%

Atromitos manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Kifisia score 1.10 on the road.

Correct Score
Atromitos 1-1 Kifisia
5.9416.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Atromitos -0.3
1.8740%

Atromitos have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.94
16.9%
1-0
6.68
15.1%
0-0
7.98
12.6%
0-1
8.48
11.8%
2-1
8.93
11.3%
2-0
9.94
10.1%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Atromitos clean sheets, in line with their 41% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Atromitos
-0.0
1.61
Kifisia
+0.0
2.25
Atromitos
-0.3
1.87
Kifisia
+0.3
2.92
Atromitos
-1.5
4.00
Kifisia
+1.5
6.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atromitos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Atromitos vs Kifisia
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.273.143.162.151.651.851.83
Betfair
2.153.303.252.151.671.901.87
Pinnacle
2.353.243.292.231.69
SBO
2.012.933.23
William Hill
2.303.003.101.851.85
Bet365
2.353.003.202.151.671.911.91
1xBet
2.293.143.182.151.651.851.85
Betano
2.183.353.452.201.721.881.85
BetVictor
2.253.203.102.091.631.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
68.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
45.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAtromitos or Draw
71%1.31
12Atromitos or Kifisia
75%1.31
X2Draw or Kifisia
54%1.63

Head to Head

Last 7 Meetings (Kifisia leads 3-2)
2 Atromitos1 Draw3 Kifisia
08 Apr
Atromitos
0-0
Kifisia
Super League 1
07 Feb
Kifisia
0-1
Atromitos
Super League 1
Nov 25
Atromitos
1-2
Kifisia
Super League 1
Apr 24
Atromitos
1-2
Kifisia
Super League 1
Jan 24
Atromitos
3-0
Kifisia
Super League 1
Sept 23
Kifisia
2-1
Atromitos
Super League 1
Aug 23
Atromitos
-
Kifisia
Friendlies Clubs

In the last seven matches between Atromitos and Kifisia, Kifisia has won 3 times, Atromitos has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested. The most recent draw ended in a 0-0 stalemate, while Kifisia's victories include two narrow wins of 2-1, suggesting tight contests. Atromitos achieved a more decisive 3-0 win in one instance, but overall, the results lack any heavy defeats. Kifisia’s last win was in September 2023, showing they have had the upper hand in recent encounters.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
321010197
WDW
2
Olympiakos Piraeus
32103127
DWW
3
PAOK
22006156
WW
4
Panetolikos
22005146
WW
5
Aris Thessalonikis
320158-36
LWW
6
Panathinaikos
11002023
W
9
Kifisia
10101101
D
11
Atromitos
200213-20
LL
12
Kalamata
200225-30
LL
13
Asteras Tripolis
200214-30
LL
14
Levadiakos
200206-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AtromitosHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 20.00 pts/game
KifisiaAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AtromitosKifisia
1.56Goals p.g.1.1
1Goals conceded p.g.1.5
41%Clean sheets23%
44%Win rate20%
2.56Avg goals in match2.6
1.43xG per game0.78
0.24xGA per game0.37
50%Possession %43%
4.6Shots on target / game2.8
4.2Corners per game2.5
Atromitos
Recent Form

Atromitos have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Atromitos 1-2 and beat Atromitos 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 8L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AtromitosAll competitions
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0-1
Atromitos
Cup
30 Aug
Atromitos
1-2
PAOK
Super League 1
22 Aug
Olympiakos Piraeus
1-0
Atromitos
Super League 1
18 Aug
Atromitos
3-1
Pyrgos 1968
Cup
30 Jul
Atromitos
1-0
Aris
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Atromitos
6-0
Panserraikos
Super League 1
12
Win
44%
7
Draw
26%
8
Lost
30%
Kifisia
Recent Form

Kifisia have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kifisia 2-2 and beat Zakynthos 1-6.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 13D 11L from the last 30 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: KifisiaAll competitions
02 Sept
Marko
2-2
Kifisia
Cup
30 Aug
Kifisia
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
19 Aug
Zakynthos
1-6
Kifisia
Cup
08 Aug
Apoel Nicosia
2-2
Kifisia
Friendlies Clubs
02 Aug
Waalwijk
3-0
Kifisia
Friendlies Clubs
29 Jul
KVC Westerlo
1-1
Kifisia
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
20%
13
Draw
43%
11
Lost
37%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Atromitos

No reported absences

Kifisia

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Atromitos Win2.24 (46%)
Kifisia Win3.22 (29.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.16 (45.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.67 (54.8%)
Both Teams Score1.87 (50.3%)
BTTS No1.86 (49.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.14 (24.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Meletios Gioumatzidis has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Meletios Gioumatzidis to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Atromitos have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Kifisia 2.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Atromitos have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atromitos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.