Chongqing Tongliang Long vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours Chongqing Tongliang Long to win this match against Shanghai SIPG, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned second in the league, Chongqing has accumulated 29 points from 20 matches, showcasing a solid but inconsistent form with seven wins, eight draws, and five losses. Their goal difference of just +1 indicates a relatively balanced performance, though they have struggled to maintain a winning streak recently, managing only one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Shanghai SIPG sits in twelfth place, having earned 19 points from 19 matches. Their record of six wins, six draws, and seven losses reflects a challenging season, yet they have shown signs of improvement with two wins in their last five games. Despite their lower league standing, Shanghai’s goal tally of 30 suggests they possess attacking potential, but their defensive record, conceding 26 goals, highlights vulnerabilities that Chongqing could exploit. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Chongqing Tongliang Long, with a key market expectation of a home victory. However, the inconsistency in Chongqing's recent form could pose a risk, particularly if they fail to convert chances against a capable Shanghai attack. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is powered by an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Chongqing Tongliang Long manage games at home, conceding just 1.06 goals per match. SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.27 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.14 | 1.80 | 1.96 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 3.25 | 3.53 | 2.23 | 1.87 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 2.92 | 3.04 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.24 | 3.50 | 2.21 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.04 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.02 | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.18 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
Superbet | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.74 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.17 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)Chongqing Tongliang Long has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against SHANGHAI SIPG, with SHANGHAI SIPG yet to secure a victory. The only match between these two clubs ended with Chongqing winning 2-1, indicating a relatively close contest, but with Chongqing managing to secure the win. There have been no draws in their meetings, and SHANGHAI SIPG has not won against Chongqing in their single encounter.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | DLLLD |
| 9 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChongqing Tongliang Long have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3 and beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 11D 10L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 and beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 13L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedChongqing Tongliang Long5-4-1Confirmed
SHANGHAI SIPG4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersChongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.