Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Tianjin Teda Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Tianjin Teda
Match Preview
The model favours Chongqing Tongliang Long to win against Tianjin Teda, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Chongqing Tongliang Long currently sits in 2nd place in the league, having accumulated 24 points from 15 matches. Their season has seen a balanced performance with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses. Key statistics that highlight their strength include a positive goal difference of +3, showing their ability to score while maintaining a relatively solid defence. On the other hand, Tianjin Teda is struggling at 16th place with only 5 points from their 15 matches, which has put them in a precarious position. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses reflects their difficulties throughout the season. While they have managed to score the same number of goals as Tongliang Long (19), their defence has been weaker, conceding 21 goals and resulting in a negative goal difference of -2. The model indicates a strong probability of victory for Chongqing Tongliang Long, with their win likelihood significantly higher than that of Tianjin Teda. However, an honest caveat is that if Tongliang Long continues their inconsistent form, as seen in their last five matches, they could be vulnerable to an upset. For a comprehensive understanding of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have kept a clean sheet in 44% of matches. Tianjin Teda average 1.3 goals per game.
Chongqing Tongliang Long manage games at home, conceding just 1.04 goals per match. Tianjin Teda score 1.26 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long win as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Chongqing Tongliang Long clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Chongqing Tongliang Long are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Tianjin Teda| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.08 | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 1.95 | 1.70 | |
| 2.03 | 3.05 | 3.86 | 2.38 | 1.55 | 2.03 | 1.68 | |
| 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.10 | 3.18 | 4.00 | 2.47 | 1.56 | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 2.83 | 3.21 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 2.09 | 3.14 | 3.98 | 2.42 | 1.58 | 2.03 | 1.70 | |
| 1.92 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.28 | 1.54 | 2.02 | 1.68 | |
| 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.26 | 1.54 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Tianjin Teda shows 0 wins for Chongqing, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Tianjin. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with no goals scored. This suggests that both teams have struggled to find the net against each other, resulting in a lack of decisive victories. As there have been no wins for either side in their history, this matchup has a balanced but low-scoring nature.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 | LWLWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 21 | WWWLD |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Tianjin Teda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 8 | LLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChongqing Tongliang Long have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 and lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 7L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tianjin Teda have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 and drew with Rizhao Yuqi 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 9D 11L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Tianjin Teda
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 3.1 corners per match at home; Tianjin Teda 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chongqing Tongliang Long have generated 0.80 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chongqing Tongliang Long player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
