Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours Henan Jianye to win against SHANGHAI SIPG, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Henan Jianye currently sits in 11th place in the league with 15 points from 15 matches, having secured six wins, three draws, and six losses. Their goal difference of -2 indicates a struggle in defence, but they have shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are building momentum. In contrast, SHANGHAI SIPG is positioned 13th with 12 points, having won only four of their 15 matches this season. Their recent form includes just one win alongside three draws and one loss, which highlights their difficulty in converting opportunities into victories. With a goal difference of +2, they have been slightly more effective in attack compared to Henan, but their overall inconsistency remains a concern. The model gives Henan Jianye a win probability of approximately 55%, while the projected scoreline is 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is that if SHANGHAI SIPG can capitalize on their attacking capabilities, they could turn the match in their favour. The full method of our prediction is explained in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.03 | 3.46 | 3.36 | 1.66 | 2.16 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.09 | 3.56 | 3.46 | 1.69 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 | |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 | |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 5 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHenan Jianye have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Hangzhou Greentown 0-2 and beat Sichuan Jiuniu 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 8L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 3-2 and beat Chengdu Better City 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 8D 11L from the last 24 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHenan Jianye
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Henan Jianye have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.