Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City to win this match against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Chengdu Better City is currently at the top of the Super League standings, boasting a strong record of 12 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from 15 matches. Their impressive goal difference of +20, with 33 goals scored and only 13 conceded, highlights their dominance in both attacking and defensive phases of the game. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu sits in 9th place with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. With 20 goals scored and 25 conceded, their goal difference of -5 suggests they have struggled at times this season. Sichuan has shown some resilience, recently securing two wins in their last five matches, but overall, their consistency remains a concern. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for Chengdu Better City, reflecting their strong form and league position. However, Sichuan Jiuniu could pose a challenge if they manage to leverage their home advantage effectively. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Chengdu Better City have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Chengdu Better City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.45 | 3.88 | 1.68 | 1.62 | 2.23 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.67 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.73 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 4.58 | 3.99 | 1.73 | 1.65 | 2.27 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
| 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 4.35 | 3.85 | 1.70 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 | |
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 5 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 and drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 13L from the last 24 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Chengdu Better City have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Dalian Zhixing 2-0 and beat Tianjin Teda 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 6L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Chengdu Better City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Chengdu Better City 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chengdu Better City have generated 2.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chengdu Better City player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
