Club Queretaro vs Club America Prediction, Tips & Odds

Club Queretaro vs Club America

Liga MXApertura - 1
Club Queretaro
#13 · Liga MX
WDWWD
VS
Estadio La Corregidora
Club America
#11 · Liga MX
WDDLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.00
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.93 (implied 51.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 54.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.84). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (54.3% vs 51.8%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Club Queretaro to win against Club America, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Queretaro has shown strong form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency highlights their ability to secure points, crucial for their position in the league as they aim to climb higher in the standings. In contrast, Club America has experienced a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, with two wins, two draws, and one loss. This inconsistency could hinder their chances against a confident Queretaro side. While they are a historically strong team, their recent form suggests they may struggle to find their rhythm in this encounter. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Queretaro, supporting the projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is that if America can capitalize on set pieces or exploit any defensive lapses, they could change the outcome. The full methodology of our prediction comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Club Queretaro Win35%3.48
Draw23%3.44
Club America Win42%2.00
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6951.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.9352.8%

Club Queretaro manage games at home, conceding just 1.15 goals per match. Club America score 1.38 on the road.

Correct Score
Club Queretaro 1-1 Club America
6.3215.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Club America -0.0
1.4836%

Club America have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.32
15.9%
0-1
7.38
13.6%
1-2
7.95
12.7%
0-2
9.58
10.5%
0-0
10.08
10.0%
1-0
10.31
9.7%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Club Queretaro
-0.0
2.54
Club America
+0.0
1.48
Club Queretaro
-0.3
3.00
Club America
+0.3
1.80
Club Queretaro
-0.5
3.45
Club America
+0.5
1.88
Club Queretaro
-1.5
7.50
Club America
+1.5
3.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Club America are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Club Queretaro vs Club America
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.503.502.001.831.951.672.10
Marathonbet
3.503.501.971.831.931.692.02
Betfair
3.503.601.951.802.001.672.15
Pinnacle
3.563.532.101.891.98——
SBO
3.243.232.041.901.96——
William Hill
3.253.102.00——1.672.05
Bet365
3.503.602.051.851.951.702.05
1xBet
3.503.501.991.831.931.692.05
Unibet
3.803.601.861.801.971.652.04
888Sport
3.403.101.951.951.751.751.91
Betano
3.503.452.071.852.001.672.12
Superbet
3.603.452.001.871.881.722.00
BetVictor
3.403.502.051.791.881.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
47.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XClub Queretaro or Draw
59%1.76
12Club Queretaro or Club America
77%1.27
X2Draw or Club America
65%1.27

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Club America leads 7-0)
0 Club Queretaro3 Draw7 Club America
07 Mar
Club Queretaro
1-2
Club America
Liga MX
Aug 25
Club America
1-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Jan 25
Club Queretaro
0-1
Club America
Liga MX
Jul 24
Club America
3-1
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Jan 24
Club America
2-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Sept 23
Club Queretaro
1-2
Club America
Liga MX
Jan 23
Club America
0-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Aug 22
Club Queretaro
0-1
Club America
Liga MX
Mar 22
Club America
1-1
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Jul 21
Club Queretaro
0-0
Club America
Liga MX

In the last 10 matches between Club Queretaro and Club America, Club America has won 7 times, while the teams have drawn 3 times, and Club Queretaro has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines reveal a generally one-sided affair, with several matches ending in narrow wins for Club America, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but they also recorded a 3-1 victory, indicating some heavier wins. The absence of a win for Club Queretaro in this sample highlights their struggle against Club America, with their last victory against them coming well before this period.

Liga MX Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club Tijuana
11003123
W
2
Cruz Azul
11003213
W
3
Atlas
11003213
W
4
Necaxa
11002113
W
5
Puebla
11001013
W
6
Santos Laguna
00000000
11
Club America
00000000
13
Club Queretaro
00000000
16
Atlante FC
100112-10
L
17
FC Juarez
100101-10
L
18
Tigres UANL
100113-20
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Club QueretaroHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
Club AmericaAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Club QueretaroClub America
1.1Goals p.g.1.38
1.15Goals conceded p.g.1.04
35%Clean sheets33%
30%Win rate42%
2.25Avg goals in match2.42
1.34xG per game1.35
-0.28xGA per game-0.23
34%Possession %55%
3.7Shots on target / game5.1
6.6Corners per game6.0
Club Queretaro
Recent Form

Club Queretaro have won 3 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Club Queretaro 2-2 and drew with Club Queretaro 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 5L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Club QueretaroAll competitions
03 Jul
Austin
0-1
Club Queretaro
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Club Queretaro
2-2
Atletico San Luis
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
Reboceros La Piedad
0-2
Club Queretaro
Friendlies Clubs
25 Apr
Puebla
1-2
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
22 Apr
Club Queretaro
1-1
Cruz Azul
Liga MX
18 Apr
Mazatlán
1-1
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
6
Win
30%
9
Draw
45%
5
Lost
25%
Club America
Recent Form

Club America have won 6 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Club America 0-2 and drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 6L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Club AmericaAll competitions
05 Jul
CDS Tampico Madero
0-2
Club America
Friendlies Clubs
11 May
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3-3
Club America
Liga MX
03 May
Club America
3-3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
26 Apr
Club America
0-1
Atlas
Liga MX
22 Apr
Leon
2-3
Club America
Liga MX
19 Apr
Club America
2-1
Toluca
Liga MX
10
Win
42%
8
Draw
33%
6
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Club Queretaro

No reported absences

Club America

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Club Queretaro Win3.48 (35.1%)
Club America Win2.00 (41.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (47.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (52.8%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (51.7%)
BTTS No2.05 (48.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Club Queretaro have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Club America 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Club America have generated 1.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club America player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Club Queretaro vs Club America Predictions, Stats, H2H - 19 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt