Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Prediction, Tips & Odds
Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
Match Preview
The model favours Club Queretaro to win against Tigres UANL, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Queretaro enters this match with a strong form from their last five matches, having secured three wins and two draws, indicating a positive momentum as they start their season. Their solid performance suggests a team ready to capitalize on their home advantage, which can be crucial in the early stages of the league. On the other hand, Tigres UANL is struggling, currently positioned at the bottom of the standings after one match, where they lost and conceded three goals. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to bounce back quickly, particularly against a side that is entering the season with confidence. The model output suggests that Club Queretaro has a higher win probability in this matchup. However, it is important to note that Tigres can be unpredictable, and a sudden turnaround in form could pose a challenge. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Club Queretaro manage games at home, conceding just 1.15 goals per match. Tigres UANL score 1.70 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Tigres UANL have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tigres UANL are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.94 | 3.62 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 3.82 | 3.74 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.99 | — | — | |
| 3.37 | 3.16 | 1.94 | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.85 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 3.94 | 3.62 | 1.84 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
| 3.75 | 3.95 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.95 | 1.68 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 4.10 | 3.65 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Superbet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.92 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tigres UANL leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Club Queretaro and Tigres UANL, Tigres UANL has won 6 times, with Club Queretaro securing 1 win and 3 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a notable advantage for Tigres UANL, highlighted by a significant 5-0 victory in their most recent encounter. While Queretaro managed a narrow 1-0 win in 2024, the overall trend shows that Tigres has frequently dominated these fixtures, including three matches with a margin of at least two goals. Club Queretaro last won against Tigres UANL in 2024, suggesting a challenging historical context for them.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Club Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 | Club Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonClub Queretaro have won 3 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Club Queretaro 2-2 and drew with Club Queretaro 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 5L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tigres UANL have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tigres UANL 3-1 and drew with Toluca 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 9L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersClub Queretaro
No reported absences
Tigres UANL
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Club Queretaro have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Tigres UANL 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tigres UANL have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tigres UANL player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
