Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi
Match Preview
The model favours Defensa Y Justicia to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Aldosivi. Defensa Y Justicia currently sits in 10th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having accumulated 19 points from 16 matches. Their season has been challenging, with a record of four wins, seven draws, and five losses. Notably, they have struggled with recent form, losing their last five matches, which could impact their confidence going into this fixture. On the other hand, Aldosivi has yet to secure a victory this season, remaining at the bottom of the standings in 14th place with only eight points. Their record of zero wins, eight draws, and eight losses highlights their difficulties in both scoring and defending, having netted just six goals while conceding 19. Despite their lack of wins, Aldosivi has managed to draw three of their last five matches, suggesting they can be difficult to break down. According to the model, Defensa Y Justicia has a strong probability of winning this match, with a projected score of 2-0. However, one caveat is that their recent losing streak could lead to a lack of morale, potentially opening the door for an upset. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Defensa Y Justicia have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.7 goals per game.
Defensa Y Justicia manage games at home, conceding just 1.37 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.72 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.7% probability.
Defensa Y Justicia have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia win as the most likely scoreline at 20.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Defensa Y Justicia clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Defensa Y Justicia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.88 | 3.15 | 4.55 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 1.87 | 3.14 | 4.60 | 2.51 | 1.42 | 2.26 | 1.55 | |
| 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.75 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.89 | 3.20 | 4.71 | 2.70 | 1.47 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.50 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.60 | |
| 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.50 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.90 | 3.19 | 4.68 | 2.51 | 1.42 | 2.26 | 1.57 | |
| 1.86 | 3.25 | 4.75 | 2.65 | 1.46 | 2.28 | 1.56 | |
Betano | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.70 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.57 |
BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.13 | 4.60 | 2.48 | 1.45 | 2.25 | 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Defensa Y Justicia leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Defensa Y Justicia and Aldosivi, Defensa Y Justicia has won 4 times, with 3 draws and 2 victories for Aldosivi. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, highlighted by a mix of narrow and high-scoring matches, including a 5-0 win for Defensa Y Justicia. Draws have also occurred frequently, contributing to a balanced overall record. Notably, Aldosivi's last win came in 2021, suggesting they have struggled to find consistent success against Defensa Y Justicia in recent encounters.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LDWDW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | LDDDW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDefensa Y Justicia have won 2 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 and lost to Defensa Y Justicia 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 6L from the last 19 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Aldosivi have won 0 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to River Plate 3-1 and lost to Belgrano Cordoba 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 8D 8L from the last 18 games (11% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDefensa Y Justicia
No reported absences
Aldosivi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Defensa Y Justicia have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Defensa Y Justicia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 32% of their matches and averaging 1.2 goals per game. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Defensa Y Justicia player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
