Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
Match Preview
The model favours Eintracht Frankfurt to win against FC Augsburg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Frankfurt enters the match in a solid position, having finished the previous season with strong form, recording four wins in their last five matches. This momentum, combined with their home advantage at Deutsche Bank Park, gives them a crucial edge as they kick off their campaign. On the other hand, FC Augsburg also showed promise towards the end of last season, securing three wins in their last five outings. However, they will need to translate that late-season success into a more consistent performance as they begin this new campaign. Their positioning in the standings, just one place behind Frankfurt, suggests they could present a competitive challenge. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Eintracht Frankfurt, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting this confidence. One caveat is that both teams are starting fresh, and Augsburg could surprise if they manage to build on their late-season form. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which outlines our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is committed to providing data-driven insights for every match.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Eintracht Frankfurt have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Eintracht Frankfurt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 1.88 | 4.20 | 3.84 | 1.36 | 2.83 | 1.38 | 2.80 | |
| 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.47 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 1.89 | 4.15 | 3.84 | 1.41 | 2.99 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.91 | 4.26 | 3.90 | 1.36 | 2.83 | 1.38 | 2.85 | |
| 1.89 | 3.90 | 3.45 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.45 | 1.47 | 2.77 | 1.44 | 2.67 |
Superbet | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.47 | 2.70 | 1.45 | 2.70 |
BetVictor | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.38 | 2.73 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Eintracht Frankfurt leads 3-1)The head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg shows 3 wins for Frankfurt, 6 draws, and 1 win for Augsburg over the last 10 matches. This indicates a competitive rivalry, with a significant number of drawn matches suggesting tightly contested encounters. The scorelines reflect a pattern of low-scoring games, with only one match resulting in more than three goals. Augsburg's solitary win came in December 2023, marking a lengthy period since they have consistently challenged Frankfurt, who have managed to secure three victories along with several draws in recent fixtures.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Augsburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  SV Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 16 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEintracht Frankfurt have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 and drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 9L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Augsburg have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Energie Cottbus 0-2 and lost to Leeds 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 8L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedEintracht Frankfurt4-4-2Confirmed
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersEintracht Frankfurt3
FC Augsburg4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Schlager has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt average 2.5 goals per match at home; FC Augsburg 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Eintracht Frankfurt have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 41% of their matches and averaging 2.5 goals per game. Eintracht Frankfurt player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
