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FC Juarez vs Club America Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Juarez vs Club America

Liga MXApertura - 5
FC Juarez
#18 · Liga MX
LLLLL
1 - 2
Club America
#1 · Liga MX
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 60.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.65). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.7% vs 58.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Club America to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Club America currently sits at the top of the Liga MX standings, having played three matches with two wins, one draw, and no losses. They have scored five goals while conceding just one, resulting in a strong goal difference of four. Their solid start to the season reflects a well-organised team capable of maintaining pressure on their opponents. In contrast, FC Juarez is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th place. They have lost all three of their matches, managing to score only once while conceding seven goals, which gives them a goal difference of negative six. This poor performance highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of attacking cohesion, making it difficult for them to compete effectively against stronger teams. The model analysis gives Club America a win probability of around 70%, with a projected score of 2-0. However, one caveat to consider is that if FC Juarez can find a way to improve their defensive structure or exploit any complacency from Club America, they could make the match more competitive than the statistics suggest. The full methodology used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Juarez Win21%4.45
Draw21%3.77
Club America Win58%1.71
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7255.4%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7854.6%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Juarez 1-1 Club America
6.8014.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Club America -0.0
1.2852%

Club America have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.80
14.7%
0-1
7.12
14.1%
1-2
7.47
13.5%
0-2
8.18
12.3%
0-0
11.27
9.0%
1-3
12.12
8.3%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Juarez
-0.0
3.41
Club America
+0.0
1.28
FC Juarez
-0.3
3.35
Club America
+0.3
1.53
FC Juarez
-0.5
4.13
Club America
+0.5
1.65
FC Juarez
-1.5
10.00
Club America
+1.5
2.88

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Club America are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Juarez vs Club America
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
4.003.701.811.732.101.652.10
Marathonbet
4.653.941.641.781.981.741.95
Betfair
4.603.901.671.802.001.752.05
Pinnacle
4.844.141.701.842.06
SBO
3.563.311.84
William Hill
4.203.601.621.731.95
Bet365
5.003.701.701.851.951.752.00
1xBet
4.573.921.671.781.981.741.98
Unibet
4.253.801.701.682.101.612.08
888Sport
3.703.501.751.672.051.622.15
Betano
4.903.851.781.852.001.752.00
Superbet
4.753.851.691.822.001.801.95
BetVictor
4.803.801.671.761.921.751.95

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Juarez or Draw
42%2.07
12FC Juarez or Club America
79%1.23
X2Draw or Club America
79%1.19

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Club America leads 7-2)
2 FC Juarez1 Draw7 Club America
05 Mar
Club America
1-2
FC Juarez
Liga MX
Jul 25
FC Juarez
1-1
Club America
Liga MX
Feb 25
Club America
4-0
FC Juarez
Liga MX
Jul 24
FC Juarez
1-2
Club America
Liga MX
Jan 24
FC Juarez
0-2
Club America
Liga MX
Jul 23
Club America
1-2
FC Juarez
Liga MX
Apr 23
FC Juarez
0-1
Club America
Liga MX
Aug 22
Club America
2-1
FC Juarez
Liga MX
Apr 22
Club America
3-0
FC Juarez
Liga MX
Aug 21
FC Juarez
1-2
Club America
Liga MX

In the last 10 matches between FC Juarez and Club America, Club America leads with 7 wins, while FC Juarez has won 2 times and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Club America to secure narrow victories, with four matches decided by a single goal. However, there have also been two significant defeats for FC Juarez, losing 4-0 and 3-0. FC Juarez's last win against Club America came recently in March 2026, suggesting a potential for competitive matches, but overall, the head-to-head record heavily favors Club America.

Liga MX Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
65101221016
WWWWD
2
Guadalajara Chivas
7421126614
WDWWD
3
Toluca
6411124813
WWDWL
4
Club Tijuana
6411107313
WLWDW
5
Atlas
7412109113
DLWWL
6
Cruz Azul
74031211112
WWLLL
16
Atletico San Luis
7133813-56
LWDLD
17
Santos Laguna
7016412-81
LDLLL
18
FC Juarez
7007321-180
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
FC JuarezHome
0W0D4L
4 playedGF 2 · GA 100.00 pts/game
Club AmericaAway
2W1D0L
3 playedGF 4 · GA 22.33 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC JuarezClub America
1.42Goals p.g.1.56
2.03Goals conceded p.g.0.92
3%Clean sheets36%
29%Win rate50%
3.45Avg goals in match2.47
0.60xG per game1.61
-0.31xGA per game-0.79
41%Possession %54%
2.0Shots on target / game6.7
2.4Corners per game6.5
FC Juarez
Recent Form

FC Juarez have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to CF Pachuca 0-2 and lost to Club America 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 16L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: FC JuarezAll competitions
05 Sept
FC Juarez
0-2
CF Pachuca
Liga MX
31 Aug
Toluca
4-0
FC Juarez
Liga MX
22 Aug
FC Juarez
1-2
Club America
Liga MX
16 Aug
Monterrey
6-1
FC Juarez
Liga MX
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3-0
FC Juarez
Leagues Cup
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1-3
FC Juarez
Leagues Cup
9
Win
29%
6
Draw
19%
16
Lost
52%
Club America
Recent Form

Club America have won 8 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Juarez 1-2 and drew with Atlante FC 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 11D 7L from the last 36 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Club AmericaAll competitions
03 Sept
Club America
2-2
Monterrey
Leagues Cup
30 Aug
Club America
2-0
Puebla
Liga MX
27 Aug
Club America
2-0
Columbus Crew
Leagues Cup
22 Aug
FC Juarez
1-2
Club America
Liga MX
16 Aug
Club America
3-0
Atletico San Luis
Liga MX
14 Aug
Club America
1-1
Austin
Leagues Cup
18
Win
50%
11
Draw
31%
7
Lost
19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Juarez

No reported absences

Club America

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Club America Win1.71 (57.6%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (55.4%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.78 (54.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (45.4%)
BTTS No2.01 (44.6%)
Speculative
FC Juarez Win4.45 (21.1%)
Draw3.77 (21.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

FC Juarez have averaged 2.4 corners per match at home; Club America 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Club America have generated 1.61 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club America player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.