FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn


Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, FC Levadia has had an impressive season, boasting 12 wins from 15 matches, resulting in a total of 39 points. Their goal difference of +31, with 42 goals scored and only 11 conceded, highlights a particularly strong defensive record. With five consecutive victories in their last five matches, they demonstrate both consistency and form. On the other hand, Flora Tallinn occupies third place, having played one match less than Levadia. With 9 wins and 5 losses, they have accumulated 27 points. While their attack has been effective with 30 goals, their defensive record shows some vulnerabilities, conceding 15 goals. Despite a solid run of form recently, winning four out of their last five matches, they still face challenges against the league leaders. The model estimates a win probability of around 60% for FC Levadia Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator suggests that the odds heavily favour Levadia. However, should Flora manage to exploit any defensive lapses from Levadia, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW | |
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL | |
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 7 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 3-0 and beat FC Levadia Tallinn 7-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 3L from the last 25 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Flora Tallinn have won 8 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Flora Tallinn 1-2 and beat Nõmme United 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 1D 7L from the last 26 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
