FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, FC Levadia has had an impressive season, boasting 12 wins from 15 matches, resulting in a total of 39 points. Their goal difference of +31, with 42 goals scored and only 11 conceded, highlights a particularly strong defensive record. With five consecutive victories in their last five matches, they demonstrate both consistency and form. On the other hand, Flora Tallinn occupies third place, having played one match less than Levadia. With 9 wins and 5 losses, they have accumulated 27 points. While their attack has been effective with 30 goals, their defensive record shows some vulnerabilities, conceding 15 goals. Despite a solid run of form recently, winning four out of their last five matches, they still face challenges against the league leaders. The model estimates a win probability of around 60% for FC Levadia Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator suggests that the odds heavily favour Levadia. However, should Flora manage to exploit any defensive lapses from Levadia, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 66% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.64 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 1.56 | 4.05 | 4.50 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.57 | 2.19 | |
| 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.65 | 4.42 | 4.10 | 1.56 | 2.34 | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 3.48 | 3.98 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.20 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.58 | 4.05 | 4.56 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.57 | 2.23 | |
| 1.60 | 3.85 | 4.60 | 1.55 | 2.20 | 1.56 | 2.17 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 3.85 | 4.05 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.45 | 1.96 | 1.44 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between FC Levadia Tallinn and Flora Tallinn, Flora Tallinn has won 5 times, FC Levadia Tallinn has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested. Notably, there have been both narrow wins, such as Flora's 1-0 victories, and more decisive results, like Levadia's 4-0 triumph. The last time FC Levadia Tallinn won against Flora was in June 2026, suggesting that Flora has had the upper hand recently, but the overall record remains fairly balanced.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 46 | WLDWW |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 36 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 34 | WDDLD |
| 4 |  Paide | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 32 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 | LLDWD |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 10 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Levadia Tallinn have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1-2 and drew with FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 4L from the last 29 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Flora Tallinn have won 10 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Flora Tallinn 2-2 and beat Kuressaare 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 2D 9L from the last 31 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Jaanovits has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Jaanovits to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn average 2.5 goals per match at home; Flora Tallinn 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 66% of their matches and averaging 2.5 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.