Tammeka vs Trans Narva Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tammeka vs Trans Narva
Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka to win against Trans Narva, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Tammeka currently sits in 7th place in the Meistriliiga with 16 points from 13 matches, reflecting a season of ups and downs. Their recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, indicating a team that is beginning to find its rhythm. With a goal difference of -4, they have managed to score 15 goals while conceding 19, suggesting that while their defence might need improvement, they are capable of finding the net. On the other hand, Trans Narva is struggling at the bottom of the table in 10th place, having collected just 9 points from 14 matches. Their form has been concerning, with only one win in their last five outings and a significant goal difference of -27, having scored just 10 goals and conceded 37. This poor performance indicates serious issues in both their attacking and defensive strategies, making them vulnerable against a more in-form Tammeka side. The model output suggests a win probability heavily in favour of Tammeka, with a strong likelihood of a clean sheet based on Trans Narva's struggles. However, a caveat exists; if Tammeka's defence falters as it has at times this season, they could concede. For a detailed understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The SureTipsPro Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Tammeka have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Tammeka are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tammeka vs Trans Narva| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 2.16 | 1.59 | 2.15 | |
| 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.40 | 1.62 | 2.16 | 1.59 | 2.19 | |
| 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.60 | 1.61 | 2.15 | 1.58 | 2.12 | |
| 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 2.12 | — | — |
Superbet | 1.72 | 3.70 | 4.15 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Tammeka | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTammeka have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tammeka 0-0 and lost to Tammeka 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 11L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Trans Narva have won 1 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Trans Narva 0-0 and lost to Laagri 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 16L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTammeka
No reported absences
Trans Narva
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tammeka average 1.4 goals per match at home; Trans Narva 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Tammeka have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 42% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Tammeka player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.