Kalju Nomme vs Paide Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kalju Nomme vs Paide


Match Preview
The model favours Kalju Nomme to win against Paide, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the second-placed team in the Meistriliiga, Kalju Nomme has demonstrated solid form this season, with nine wins in 15 matches. They have scored 27 goals while conceding only 11, showcasing a strong goal difference of 16. Despite experiencing a mixed form recently, their overall performance positions them as a formidable contender. In contrast, Paide sits in fourth place with six wins from their 15 matches. Their goal-scoring has been less impressive, with 23 goals for and 20 against, resulting in a modest goal difference of three. The team has struggled recently, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which highlights their current difficulties in maintaining consistent performance. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Kalju Nomme, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one potential caveat is that if Paide can tighten their defensive play and find any offensive rhythm, they could pose a challenge to Kalju Nomme's aspirations. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW | |
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL | |
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Kalju Nomme have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tammeka 1-2 and drew with Paide 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 7L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Paide have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kalju Nomme 1-1 and lost to Trans Narva 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 8L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Kalju Nomme
No reported absences
Paide
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.