Kalju Nomme vs Paide Prediction, Tips & Odds

Kalju Nomme vs Paide

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 19
Kalju Nomme
#3 · Meistriliiga
LDLWW
VS
Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Paide
#4 · Meistriliiga
WDDLL

Match Preview

The model favours Kalju Nomme to win against Paide, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the second-placed team in the Meistriliiga, Kalju Nomme has demonstrated solid form this season, with nine wins in 15 matches. They have scored 27 goals while conceding only 11, showcasing a strong goal difference of 16. Despite experiencing a mixed form recently, their overall performance positions them as a formidable contender. In contrast, Paide sits in fourth place with six wins from their 15 matches. Their goal-scoring has been less impressive, with 23 goals for and 20 against, resulting in a modest goal difference of three. The team has struggled recently, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which highlights their current difficulties in maintaining consistent performance. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Kalju Nomme, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one potential caveat is that if Paide can tighten their defensive play and find any offensive rhythm, they could pose a challenge to Kalju Nomme's aspirations. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

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Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
16133044123242
WWWWW
2
Flora Tallinn
15100532161630
WLWWW
3
Kalju Nomme
1692528131529
LDLWW
4
Paide
167452420425
WDDLL
5
Tammeka
156271720-320
WDLWW
6
Vaprus
166282031-1120
LDWLW
8
Kuressaare
165291726-917
DWDWL
9
Nõmme United
1651103039-916
LWLLL
10
Trans Narva
1631121139-2810
DLLWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Kalju NommeHome
4W2D3L
9 playedGF 18 · GA 91.56 pts/game
PaideAway
3W3D2L
8 playedGF 15 · GA 121.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Kalju NommePaide
1.88Goals p.g.1.78
1Goals conceded p.g.1.37
38%Clean sheets26%
50%Win rate48%
2.88Avg goals in match3.15
Kalju Nomme
Recent Form

Kalju Nomme have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tammeka 1-2 and drew with Paide 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 7L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Kalju NommeAll competitions
17 Jun
Kalju Nomme
1-2
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
14 Jun
Kalju Nomme
1-1
Paide
Meistriliiga
30 May
Vaprus
3-1
Kalju Nomme
Meistriliiga
20 May
Kalju Nomme
1-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
17 May
Kuressaare
0-2
Kalju Nomme
Meistriliiga
10 May
Kalju Nomme
0-1
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
12
Win
50%
5
Draw
21%
7
Lost
29%
Paide
Recent Form

Paide have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kalju Nomme 1-1 and lost to Trans Narva 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 8L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PaideAll competitions
17 Jun
Paide
1-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
14 Jun
Kalju Nomme
1-1
Paide
Meistriliiga
31 May
Paide
1-1
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
23 May
Paide
1-5
Flora Tallinn
Cup
20 May
Trans Narva
1-0
Paide
Meistriliiga
17 May
Paide
1-3
FC Levadia Tallinn
Meistriliiga
13
Win
48%
6
Draw
22%
8
Lost
30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kalju Nomme

No reported absences

Paide

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Kalju Nomme vs Paide Predictions, Stats, H2H - 28 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt