FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Laagri, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. FC Levadia Tallinn currently sits at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, boasting an impressive record of 22 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 loss from 29 matches. Their goal-scoring ability is notable, with 81 goals scored and only 21 conceded, resulting in a remarkable goal difference of +60. With four wins in their last five matches, they are clearly in strong form heading into this fixture. In contrast, Laagri is positioned sixth in the league, with a record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses from 30 matches. They have scored 41 goals while conceding 47, leading to a negative goal difference of -6. Despite showing some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance has been inconsistent, which could hinder their chances against the league leaders. The model indicates FC Levadia Tallinn has a high win probability, underscoring their dominant season. However, one caveat to consider is the potential for complacency, as they are already in a strong position and may not perform at their usual intensity. The full prediction methodology, which utilises expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.9% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 73% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 FC Levadia Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 11.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature FC Levadia Tallinn clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.22 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 1.30 | 2.97 | 1.62 | 2.11 | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.27 | 4.70 | 12.98 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 10.00 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.22 | 6.25 | 7.50 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.23 | 5.00 | 10.60 | 1.30 | 2.97 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.24 | 5.20 | 9.00 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 6-1)In the last nine encounters between FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri, FC Levadia Tallinn has won six times, Laagri once, with two matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a notable dominance by FC Levadia Tallinn, particularly with heavy wins such as 6-1 and 5-0. While Laagri managed to secure a 2-1 victory in one match, their overall record suggests a struggle against FC Levadia Tallinn, as they have not won since May 2023. The frequent low-scoring draws also highlight competitive moments, but the overall trend leans significantly in favor of FC Levadia Tallinn.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 87 | 22 | 65 | 81 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 32 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 3 |  Paide | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 57 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 51 | LDLWW |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 47 | LLWLL |
| 6 | Laagri | 32 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 35 | LWWDL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 31 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 20 | LLDDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Levadia Tallinn have won 16 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 1-0 and beat FC Levadia Tallinn 10-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 33W 7D 5L from the last 45 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Laagri have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Kalju Nomme 0-1 and beat FC Tallinn 0-10.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 5D 17L from the last 44 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Laagri
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn average 2.9 goals per match at home; Laagri 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 73% of their matches and averaging 2.9 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.