FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
Match Preview
The model favours FC Nordsjaelland to win this match against Odense, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Nordsjaelland currently sits in fourth place in the Superliga, having accumulated 17 points from nine matches. Their season has been solid, with five wins, two draws, and two losses, resulting in a positive goal difference of four. The team's ability to score 14 goals while conceding 10 indicates a relatively balanced offensive and defensive performance. On the other hand, Odense finds themselves in ninth place with only nine points from their nine games. Their record shows two wins, three draws, and four losses, along with a negative goal difference of six. Odense has struggled to find consistency this season, scoring just eight goals while allowing 14, which highlights their difficulties in both attacking and defending. The model assigns FC Nordsjaelland a win probability of around 60%, with the predicted score being 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Odense can tighten their defence and exploit any gaps in Nordsjaelland's backline, they could pose a challenge. The full methodology, based on expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model to assess the fixture.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
FC Nordsjaelland have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland win as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Nordsjaelland clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FC Nordsjaelland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.65 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.50 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 1.54 | 4.89 | 5.39 | 1.41 | 2.99 | — | — | |
| 1.47 | 4.37 | 5.03 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.25 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.48 | 4.60 | 5.66 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 4.85 | 5.50 | 1.45 | 2.85 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.25 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between FC Nordsjaelland and Odense stands at 4 wins for each team and 2 draws over their last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry without a clear dominant side. The scorelines reveal a mix of tight contests and some high-scoring matches, notably Odense's 4-2 win in November 2025 and FC Nordsjaelland's 4-0 victory in January 2023. The presence of two draws suggests competitive matchups, while both teams have experienced recent successes against each other, with no side having a significant advantage in recent encounters.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 25 | DLWWW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Viborg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 | DDLWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 | Odense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 | WDDWL |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 | DWDLD |
| 11 |  Sonderjyske | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 12 |  Lyngby | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 8 | DLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Nordsjaelland have won 12 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 and beat FC Nordsjaelland 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 14D 10L from the last 45 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Odense have won 5 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 and lost to Kolding IF 5-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 15L from the last 36 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Nordsjaelland3-4-3Confirmed
Odense4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersFC Nordsjaelland2
Odense3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Morten Krogh has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Odense 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Nordsjaelland have generated 2.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Nordsjaelland player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
