Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn to win against Tammeka, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Flora Tallinn is currently in second place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 36 points from 19 matches with a record of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of +18 indicates a strong attacking capability, having scored 39 goals while conceding 21. Despite a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, they remain a formidable side. Tammeka, on the other hand, sits in sixth place with 26 points from 18 matches, recording 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 suggests defensive weaknesses, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. However, Tammeka has shown improvement in their recent form, winning four out of their last five matches. This resurgence could make them a challenging opponent, but they still face an uphill battle against a higher-ranked team. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Flora Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is Flora's recent inconsistency, which could open the door for an upset. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 63% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Flora Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Flora Tallinn clean sheets, in line with their 43% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Flora Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.40 | 4.70 | 5.96 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.38 | 4.75 | 6.10 | 1.35 | 2.88 | 1.49 | 2.33 | |
Superbet | 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.75 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Flora Tallinn and Tammeka, Flora Tallinn has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 2 victories for Tammeka. The scorelines suggest a generally favorable outcome for Flora Tallinn, as they have secured multiple wins by a margin of at least two goals, including three matches ending 3-1. Tammeka's two wins indicate they can compete, but they have not won since their 2-0 victory in July 2024. Overall, the head-to-head record shows a dominant trend for Flora Tallinn, with Tammeka often struggling to keep the scoreline close.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 50 | WDWLD |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Vaprus | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Tammeka | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 | WLDLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 50 | -33 | 16 | LWWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFlora Tallinn have won 12 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Flora Tallinn 1-0 and beat Flora Tallinn 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 1D 12L from the last 35 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tammeka 0-1 and lost to Kalju Nomme 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 3D 13L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlora Tallinn
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Flora Tallinn average 1.9 goals per match at home; Tammeka 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 63% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Flora Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.