Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka


Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn to win against Tammeka, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Flora Tallinn is currently in second place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 36 points from 19 matches with a record of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of +18 indicates a strong attacking capability, having scored 39 goals while conceding 21. Despite a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, they remain a formidable side. Tammeka, on the other hand, sits in sixth place with 26 points from 18 matches, recording 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 suggests defensive weaknesses, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. However, Tammeka has shown improvement in their recent form, winning four out of their last five matches. This resurgence could make them a challenging opponent, but they still face an uphill battle against a higher-ranked team. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Flora Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is Flora's recent inconsistency, which could open the door for an upset. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)



















Flora Tallinn hold the edge in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 2 Tammeka wins. The record points to a tie Flora Tallinn have controlled for years, though the draws show Tammeka have at times kept it tight.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 46 | WLDWW | |
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 36 | LWWLW | |
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 | DWDDL | |
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 32 | LWDWW | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 26 | LWLWL | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 26 | LWWWD | |
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 | WWLLL | |
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 | DLLLD | |
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 13 | WLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Flora Tallinn have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat The New Saints 1-0 and lost to Nõmme United 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 2D 10L from the last 33 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Tammeka have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vaprus 5-1 and beat Kalju Nomme 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 12L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
