Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 22
Flora Tallinn
#2 · Meistriliiga
WLDLW
VS
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn (14,405)
Tammeka
#6 · Meistriliiga
WLWWW

Match Preview

The model favours Flora Tallinn to win against Tammeka, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Flora Tallinn is currently in second place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 36 points from 19 matches with a record of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of +18 indicates a strong attacking capability, having scored 39 goals while conceding 21. Despite a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, they remain a formidable side. Tammeka, on the other hand, sits in sixth place with 26 points from 18 matches, recording 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 suggests defensive weaknesses, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. However, Tammeka has shown improvement in their recent form, winning four out of their last five matches. This resurgence could make them a challenging opponent, but they still face an uphill battle against a higher-ranked team. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Flora Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is Flora's recent inconsistency, which could open the door for an upset. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)
7 Flora Tallinn1 Draw2 Tammeka
03 Apr
Tammeka
3-1
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Sept 25
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Jul 25
Tammeka
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
May 25
Flora Tallinn
3-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Apr 25
Tammeka
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Feb 25
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Friendlies Clubs
Sept 24
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Jul 24
Tammeka
2-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Jun 24
Flora Tallinn
3-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Mar 24
Tammeka
0-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga

Flora Tallinn hold the edge in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 2 Tammeka wins. The record points to a tie Flora Tallinn have controlled for years, though the draws show Tammeka have at times kept it tight.

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
19144149163346
WLDWW
2
Flora Tallinn
19120739211836
LWWLW
3
Kalju Nomme
20105533161735
DWDDL
4
Paide
209563228432
LWDWW
5
Vaprus
2082102838-1026
LWLWL
6
Tammeka
188282126-526
LWWWD
8
Laagri
2081113034-425
WWLLL
9
Kuressaare
2053121933-1418
DLLLD
10
Trans Narva
2041151547-3213
WLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Flora TallinnHome
5W0D4L
9 playedGF 21 · GA 91.67 pts/game
TammekaAway
3W1D4L
8 playedGF 9 · GA 151.25 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Flora TallinnTammeka
2.03Goals p.g.2
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.43
42%Clean sheets32%
64%Win rate46%
3.09Avg goals in match3.43
Flora Tallinn
Recent Form

Flora Tallinn have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat The New Saints 1-0 and lost to Nõmme United 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 2D 10L from the last 33 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Flora TallinnAll competitions
23 Jul
Flora Tallinn
1-0
The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
17 Jul
Flora Tallinn
1-2
Nõmme United
Meistriliiga
14 Jul
Saburtalo
2-2
Flora Tallinn
UEFA Champions League
08 Jul
Flora Tallinn
2-3
Saburtalo
UEFA Champions League
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0-3
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
28 Jun
FC Levadia Tallinn
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
21
Win
64%
2
Draw
6%
10
Lost
30%
Tammeka
Recent Form

Tammeka have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vaprus 5-1 and beat Kalju Nomme 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 12L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TammekaAll competitions
24 Jul
Tammeka
19-0
Zealot Sporting
Cup
11 Jul
Vaprus
5-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
05 Jul
Tammeka
2-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
21 Jun
Tammeka
1-0
Trans Narva
Meistriliiga
17 Jun
Kalju Nomme
1-2
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
13 Jun
Tammeka
0-0
Vaprus
Meistriliiga
13
Win
46%
3
Draw
11%
12
Lost
43%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Flora Tallinn

No reported absences

Tammeka

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.