Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours Kalju Nomme to win against Tammeka, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Kalju Nomme currently sits in third place in the Meistriliiga standings, having played 20 matches this season. Their strong record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses highlights a solid performance, particularly at home. With 33 goals scored and only 16 conceded, their goal difference of +17 indicates a strong defensive unit to complement their attacking capabilities. On the other hand, Tammeka is positioned sixth in the league with 26 points from 18 games. They have experienced a mixed season, with 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. While they have managed to score 21 goals, their defensive struggles are evident with 26 goals conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of -5. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to challenge a high-performing side like Kalju Nomme. The model provides a win probability of 60% for Kalju Nomme, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Tammeka's recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches, indicating they are capable of pulling off an upset. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Kalju Nomme have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Kalju Nomme win as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Kalju Nomme are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.57 | 3.95 | 4.75 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.55 | 2.20 | |
| 1.58 | 3.94 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.28 | |
| 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.65 | 4.19 | 4.57 | 1.51 | 2.52 | — | — | |
| 1.63 | 3.61 | 3.86 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.60 | 3.94 | 4.56 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.32 | |
| 1.58 | 3.95 | 4.70 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.54 | 2.23 | |
| 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 2.20 | — | — |
Superbet | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.30 | 1.51 | 2.32 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.41 | 2.03 | 1.40 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Kalju Nomme leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Kalju Nomme and Tammeka, Kalju Nomme has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 win for Tammeka. This record indicates a strong advantage for Kalju Nomme, particularly highlighted by several decisive victories, including a 4-2 and a 3-0 win. Tammeka's only victory came in June 2026, suggesting a significant gap in performance over this period. The matches have had a mix of scorelines, but Kalju Nomme tends to secure narrow wins, with several games ending with just a one-goal difference. Overall, the head-to-head results favor Kalju Nomme considerably.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 50 | WDWLD |
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Vaprus | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Tammeka | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 | WLDLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 50 | -33 | 16 | LWWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKalju Nomme have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kalju Nomme 5-1 and beat Kalju Nomme 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 8L from the last 34 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tammeka 0-1 and lost to Kalju Nomme 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 3D 12L from the last 29 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKalju Nomme
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kalju Nomme average 1.9 goals per match at home; Tammeka 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Kalju Nomme have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Kalju Nomme player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
