Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn to win against Tammeka, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Flora Tallinn currently sits in second place in the Meistriliiga standings, having accumulated 55 points from 29 matches. Their season form has been strong, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to score, having netted 59 goals this season. In contrast, Tammeka is positioned fifth with 44 points from the same number of matches. Their recent form has been less impressive, recording two wins and three losses in their last five outings. This inconsistency has contributed to a negative goal difference of -10, indicating struggles both defensively and offensively. The model gives Flora Tallinn a strong win probability, reflecting their superior position and recent performance. However, Tammeka could pose a challenge if they manage to disrupt Flora’s rhythm, especially considering any potential lapses in concentration. The full method behind this prediction, which employs expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Flora Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Flora Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.61 | 4.10 | 3.96 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.40 | 2.64 | |
| 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.04 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 3.90 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Flora Tallinn and Tammeka, Flora Tallinn has won 7 times, Tammeka has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Flora Tallinn to secure narrow victories, with six of their wins coming by just one goal. Tammeka's victories include one by a 3-1 margin, showcasing their capability to compete. Notably, Tammeka's last win against Flora Tallinn was in April 2026, suggesting a recent struggle to maintain consistent success against them. Overall, the record leans heavily in favor of Flora Tallinn, highlighting their dominance in this fixture.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 61 | 75 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Paide | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 54 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Kalju Nomme | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 51 | DLWWL |
| 5 | Tammeka | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 6 |  Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 41 | WWDWL |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 35 | WWDLL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | -44 | 20 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFlora Tallinn have won 15 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include beat Flora Tallinn 3-2 and beat Flora Tallinn 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 3D 17L from the last 47 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 10 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 6-0 and beat Kuressaare 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 3D 17L from the last 42 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlora Tallinn
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Jakobson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Jakobson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Flora Tallinn average 1.9 goals per match at home; Tammeka 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Flora Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.