Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Laagri vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds

Laagri vs Flora Tallinn

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 34
Laagri
#6 · Meistriliiga
WWWDW
VS
Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Flora Tallinn
#2 · Meistriliiga
LWWDW

Match Preview

The model favours Flora Tallinn with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Laagri. Flora Tallinn currently sits in second place in the Meistriliiga standings, having accumulated 55 points from 30 matches. Their season has been strong, boasting 18 wins and a goal difference of +18, which highlights their offensive prowess and defensive stability. With 59 goals scored, they rank among the league's top attacking teams, indicating their ability to convert opportunities into goals. In contrast, Laagri is positioned sixth in the table with 41 points from 31 matches. Their season has been a mixed bag, with a record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. While they have shown some recent form with four wins in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not matched that of Flora Tallinn, making it a challenging task to compete against the league's top sides. According to the model, Flora Tallinn has a significant win probability, reflecting their stronger season performance and recent form. However, a caveat exists; if Laagri continues their impressive run of form, they could pose a greater threat than anticipated. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 9-1)
1 Laagri0 Draw9 Flora Tallinn
30 Apr
Flora Tallinn
5-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
22 Mar
Laagri
2-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Oct 25
Laagri
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Aug 25
Flora Tallinn
3-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
May 25
Laagri
0-3
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Apr 25
Flora Tallinn
4-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
Oct 23
Laagri
2-3
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Aug 23
Flora Tallinn
2-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
May 23
Laagri
0-1
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Mar 23
Flora Tallinn
4-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga

In the last 10 matches between Laagri and Flora Tallinn, Flora Tallinn has won 9 times, while Laagri has managed just 1 victory, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by several heavy defeats for Laagri, including a notable 5-0 loss. Most matches have seen Flora Tallinn score multiple goals, suggesting a clear dominance in attacking play. Laagri's sole win came in March 2026, making it the only instance in recent history where they managed to secure points against Flora Tallinn. Overall, the historical data reflects a strong advantage for Flora Tallinn in this matchup.

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
30236182216175
WDWWW
2
Flora Tallinn
301811159411855
LWWDW
3
Paide
31166950381254
WLWWL
4
Kalju Nomme
311561054302451
DLWWL
5
Tammeka
31152144249-747
LWLLW
6
Laagri
31132164347-441
WWDWL
8
Kuressaare
31105163449-1535
WWDLL
9
Nõmme United
3191214774-2728
LLLLW
10
Trans Narva
3155212468-4420
LDDLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
LaagriHome
7W2D7L
16 playedGF 25 · GA 211.44 pts/game
Flora TallinnAway
9W1D5L
15 playedGF 26 · GA 221.87 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LaagriFlora Tallinn
2Goals p.g.1.85
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.32
30%Clean sheets32%
49%Win rate57%
3.4Avg goals in match3.17
—Possession %49%
—Shots on target / game4.0
—Corners per game6.5
Laagri
Recent Form

Laagri have won 14 of their last 25 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nõmme United 2-0 and drew with Kuressaare 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 17L from the last 43 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LaagriAll competitions
13 Oct
Laagri
2-0
Nõmme United
Meistriliiga
10 Oct
Kalju Nomme
0-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0-10
Laagri
Cup
18 Sept
Laagri
0-0
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
13 Sept
Paide
1-2
Laagri
Meistriliiga
09 Sept
Vaprus
3-2
Laagri
Meistriliiga
21
Win
49%
5
Draw
12%
17
Lost
40%
Flora Tallinn
Recent Form

Flora Tallinn have won 12 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Flora Tallinn 2-0 and beat Nõmme United 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 27W 3D 17L from the last 47 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Flora TallinnAll competitions
11 Oct
Kuressaare
2-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
20 Sept
Flora Tallinn
3-2
Vaprus
Meistriliiga
12 Sept
Nõmme United
2-3
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
08 Sept
Trans Narva
2-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
05 Sept
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Kalju Nomme
Meistriliiga
02 Sept
Flora Tallinn
3-2
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
27
Win
57%
3
Draw
6%
17
Lost
36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Laagri

No reported absences

Flora Tallinn

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.