Laagri vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn


Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Laagri. Flora Tallinn currently sits in second place in the Meistriliiga standings, having accumulated 55 points from 30 matches. Their season has been strong, boasting 18 wins and a goal difference of +18, which highlights their offensive prowess and defensive stability. With 59 goals scored, they rank among the league's top attacking teams, indicating their ability to convert opportunities into goals. In contrast, Laagri is positioned sixth in the table with 41 points from 31 matches. Their season has been a mixed bag, with a record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. While they have shown some recent form with four wins in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not matched that of Flora Tallinn, making it a challenging task to compete against the league's top sides. According to the model, Flora Tallinn has a significant win probability, reflecting their stronger season performance and recent form. However, a caveat exists; if Laagri continues their impressive run of form, they could pose a greater threat than anticipated. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 9-1)



















In the last 10 matches between Laagri and Flora Tallinn, Flora Tallinn has won 9 times, while Laagri has managed just 1 victory, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by several heavy defeats for Laagri, including a notable 5-0 loss. Most matches have seen Flora Tallinn score multiple goals, suggesting a clear dominance in attacking play. Laagri's sole win came in March 2026, making it the only instance in recent history where they managed to secure points against Flora Tallinn. Overall, the historical data reflects a strong advantage for Flora Tallinn in this matchup.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 61 | 75 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 | LWWDW | |
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 54 | WLWWL | |
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 51 | DLWWL | |
| 5 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 | LWLLW | |
| 6 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 41 | WWDWL | |
| 8 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 35 | WWDLL | |
| 9 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 28 | LLLLW | |
| 10 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | -44 | 20 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Laagri have won 14 of their last 25 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nõmme United 2-0 and drew with Kuressaare 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 17L from the last 43 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Flora Tallinn have won 12 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Flora Tallinn 2-0 and beat Nõmme United 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 3D 17L from the last 47 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Laagri
No reported absences
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
