Fulham vs Hull City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fulham vs Hull City
Match Preview
The model favours Fulham to win this match against Hull City, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fulham currently sits at 19th in the league standings and has struggled to find form this season, with no wins in their first five matches (0W, 2D, 3L). Their goal difference of -3 highlights defensive vulnerabilities, although they have managed to score five goals. Key to their chances will be improving their home performance at Craven Cottage, where they will need to convert their opportunities into points. Hull City, on the other hand, occupies 8th place and has shown a more stable performance so far, with two wins, two draws, and one loss. They have scored six goals while conceding four, resulting in a positive goal difference of 2. Their recent form includes one win and two draws in their last five matches, indicating resilience. However, their away performance could be a concern as they look to maintain their position against a desperate Fulham side. The model gives Fulham a 62.8% chance of winning, with a 22.1% probability of a draw and a 15.1% chance for Hull City to come out on top. While Fulham's home advantage could play a significant role, their poor start to the season is a cautionary note. The full method behind this prediction, which leverages expected goals and actual results across the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Fulham have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Fulham win as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Fulham clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Fulham are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fulham vs Hull City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.51 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.69 | 2.20 | 1.78 | 1.93 | |
| 1.47 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.48 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.55 | 4.52 | 6.68 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.78 | 1.95 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Fulham leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Fulham and Hull City, Fulham has won 6 times, Hull City has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Fulham to secure narrow victories, with five of their six wins coming by a single goal. However, Hull City's victories include a notable 3-0 win over Fulham, suggesting they can achieve significant results as well. The most recent match saw Fulham win 2-0, while Hull City's last win in this fixture was over four years ago, indicating a recent advantage for Fulham in these encounters.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | DWDDD |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | DLDDW |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 19 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 | LDDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFulham have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Fulham 1-1 and lost to Fulham 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 15L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hull City have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Newcastle 2-1 and drew with Chelsea 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 12D 11L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFulham
No reported absences
Hull City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Fulham have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Hull City 2.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fulham have generated 3.14 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fulham player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.