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Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

Super League 1Regular Season - 4
Iraklis 1908
#8 · Super League 1
DDWDL
1 - 1
Kaftanzoglio Stadium, Thessaloniki
Atromitos
#11 · Super League 1
LLDDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 (implied 60.7%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.58). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.2% vs 60.7%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Iraklis 1908 to win against Atromitos, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Iraklis 1908 currently sits in 8th place in the Super League 1 standings, having played two matches so far this season. Their form has been mixed, with one draw and one loss, scoring just one goal while conceding five. Despite the negative goal difference, the team has shown resilience, managing to secure a point in their last outing. On the other hand, Atromitos is struggling at the bottom of the table in 11th place after one match, where they lost without scoring. Their recent form reflects further struggles, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, indicating inconsistent performance. The lack of goals scored this season puts them in a precarious position as they seek to find their rhythm. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for Iraklis 1908, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a caveat is that if Atromitos can tighten their defence and find a way to score, they could pose a challenge. For a full breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Iraklis 1908 Win41%2.89
Draw26%3.06
Atromitos Win34%2.49
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8652.3%

Iraklis 1908 have kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches. Atromitos average 1.4 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6559.1%

Iraklis 1908 manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Atromitos score 1.45 on the road.

Correct Score
Iraklis 1908 1-1 Atromitos
5.6917.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Iraklis 1908 -0.5
2.7035%

Iraklis 1908 have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.69
17.7%
0-1
6.90
14.5%
1-0
7.47
13.4%
0-0
7.54
13.3%
1-2
9.11
11.1%
2-1
9.94
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Iraklis 1908
-0.0
1.99
Atromitos
+0.0
1.78
Iraklis 1908
-0.3
2.47
Atromitos
+0.3
2.15
Iraklis 1908
-0.5
2.70
Atromitos
+0.5
2.34
Iraklis 1908
-1.5
6.00
Atromitos
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Iraklis 1908 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.703.102.542.151.671.801.85
Marathonbet
2.962.952.532.211.641.851.83
Betfair
2.883.102.402.201.601.851.85
Pinnacle
3.093.002.622.291.66——
SBO
2.672.962.39————
William Hill
2.902.882.50——1.851.85
Bet365
2.883.252.452.201.651.951.80
1xBet
2.982.952.552.211.641.851.85
Unibet
2.903.202.432.061.661.791.88
888Sport
2.902.902.502.201.621.801.95
Betano
2.923.202.552.251.671.881.85
Superbet
2.873.152.522.201.681.871.87
BetVictor
2.883.132.452.121.621.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
68.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
40.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XIraklis 1908 or Draw
67%1.49
12Iraklis 1908 or Atromitos
74%1.33
X2Draw or Atromitos
59%1.38

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Iraklis 19081 Draw0 Atromitos
12 Sept
Iraklis 1908
1-1
Atromitos
Super League 1

The head-to-head record between Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos stands at one draw, with both teams having won none of their encounters. The only match played ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a balanced contest with no side managing to secure a victory. This result suggests a tight matchup, with neither team displaying dominance in their previous fixture. With only one game recorded, it is difficult to discern any significant patterns, but the draw reflects a potentially competitive rivalry.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Panathinaikos
55001221015
WWWWW
2
PAOK
5401125712
WWLWW
3
AEK Athens FC
53201331011
WDWDW
4
OFI
531184410
DWWLW
5
Olympiakos Piraeus
531142210
WLDWW
6
Panetolikos
53028719
LLWWW
8
Iraklis 1908
513146-26
DDWDL
11
Atromitos
502347-32
LDDLL
12
Asteras Tripolis
502349-52
DDLLL
13
Volos NFC
502349-52
LLDDL
14
Levadiakos
501409-91
LDLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Iraklis 1908Home
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game
AtromitosAway
0W1D1L
2 playedGF 1 · GA 20.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Iraklis 1908Atromitos
0.93Goals p.g.1.45
1Goals conceded p.g.1.03
40%Clean sheets35%
33%Win rate39%
1.93Avg goals in match2.48
0.38xG per game1.38
-0.99xGA per game0.18
40%Possession %53%
1.0Shots on target / game4.4
2.0Corners per game4.2
Iraklis 1908
Recent Form

Iraklis 1908 have won 1 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Iraklis 1908 1-1 and lost to Iraklis 1908 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 4L from the last 15 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Iraklis 1908All competitions
19 Sept
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
12 Sept
Iraklis 1908
1-1
Atromitos
Super League 1
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0-2
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
29 Aug
Volos NFC
1-1
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
22 Aug
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
17 Aug
Iraklis 1908
1-3
Volos NFC
Cup
5
Win
33%
6
Draw
40%
4
Lost
27%
Atromitos
Recent Form

Atromitos have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Iraklis 1908 1-1 and beat Panserraikos 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 10L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AtromitosAll competitions
19 Sept
Atromitos
1-2
Kifisia
Super League 1
16 Sept
Atromitos
0-1
PAOK
Cup
12 Sept
Iraklis 1908
1-1
Atromitos
Super League 1
06 Sept
Atromitos
1-1
Kalamata
Super League 1
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0-1
Atromitos
Cup
30 Aug
Atromitos
1-2
PAOK
Super League 1
12
Win
39%
9
Draw
29%
10
Lost
32%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Iraklis 1908

No reported absences

Atromitos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.65 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Iraklis 1908 Win2.89 (40.9%)
Draw3.06 (25.6%)
Atromitos Win2.49 (33.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.19 (40.9%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (47.7%)
BTTS No1.86 (52.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Iraklis 1908 have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Atromitos 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Iraklis 1908 have generated 0.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 1.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Iraklis 1908 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.