JDFS Alberts vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Rēzekne FA
Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. As the fifth-placed team in the league, JDFS Alberts has had a solid season, accumulating 40 points from 22 matches with 12 wins. Their goal difference of +13 highlights their offensive capabilities, having scored 44 goals while conceding 31. Recent form shows they are bouncing back with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a positive trajectory. In contrast, Rēzekne FA finds itself at the bottom of the standings in 14th place, with only one win from 22 matches. Their struggle is evident in their goal statistics, scoring just 17 goals while conceding a staggering 69, resulting in a goal difference of -52. The team's recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, including four losses. This lack of momentum poses significant challenges as they face a stronger opponent. The model gives JDFS Alberts a win probability of around 75%, reflecting their strong position and form. However, a potential caveat is that if Rēzekne FA can capitalise on any defensive lapses from Alberts, they could pose a threat. For a detailed overview of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (JDFS Alberts leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between JDFS Alberts and Rēzekne FA, JDFS Alberts has won 7 times, with 2 draws and Rēzekne FA winning just once. The scorelines indicate a significant dominance by JDFS Alberts, highlighted by heavy wins such as 8-1 and 7-0, alongside more narrow victories like 3-0 and 2-0. The lone victory for Rēzekne FA came in 2021, suggesting they have struggled in recent encounters. There is also a notable presence of low-scoring draws, but the overall trend shows JDFS Alberts has consistently been the stronger side in this matchup.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 18 | 78 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 53 | DDLWD |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 50 | WLWLW |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 41 | DWLLW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 33 | DWDWL |
| 12 |  Rīgas FS II | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 13 |  JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 16 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 70 | -53 | 6 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonJDFS Alberts have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to JDFS Alberts 1-3 and lost to JDFS Alberts 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 7D 9L from the last 35 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 14. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga FC II 5-0 and lost to Tukums II 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 25L from the last 34 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersJDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Rēzekne FA
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.