JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II Prediction, Tips & Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II
Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win the match against Riga FC II, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 5th place, JDFS Alberts has accumulated 24 points from 14 matches, with a record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They have scored 29 goals while conceding 22, which results in a positive goal difference of 7. Despite a mixed recent form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, their overall performance this season positions them as the stronger side. On the other hand, Riga FC II is in 8th place with 19 points from 13 matches, achieving 6 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. They have scored 21 goals but have conceded 23, leaving them with a negative goal difference of -2. Although they have shown improvement recently, winning four out of their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not been as consistent as their opponents. The model gives JDFS Alberts a solid win probability, reflecting their stronger league position and overall scoring ability. However, a potential concern is their recent inconsistency, which could allow Riga FC II to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. JDFS Alberts are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.03 | 1.48 | 2.46 | 1.52 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.80 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.71 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.46 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between JDFS Alberts and Riga FC II stands at 3 wins for each side with 3 draws across their last 9 matches. This balanced record indicates a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws, suggesting that both teams are capable of matching each other. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow and more decisive outcomes, including a notable 6-2 victory for Riga FC II in 2022. While both teams have enjoyed periods of dominance, the fact that neither has won more than their opponent in recent fixtures highlights the closely contested nature of their encounters.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 13 | 44 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 27 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 | DDWLW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 20 | DLWWW |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 11 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 5 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonJDFS Alberts have won 8 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with JDFS Alberts 1-1 and lost to JDFS Alberts 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 7L from the last 27 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Riga FC II have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 3-0 and beat Rīgas FS II 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 3D 11L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersJDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Riga FC II
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
JDFS Alberts average 2.0 goals per match at home; Riga FC II 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 52% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. JDFS Alberts player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
