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Skanste vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds

Skanste vs Rēzekne FA

1. LigaRegular Season - 16
Skanste
#9 · 1. Liga
WLLLL
VS
Rēzekne FA
#14 · 1. Liga
LLLDL

Match Preview

The model favours Skanste to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Skanste currently sits in 9th place with 13 points, having recorded four wins, one draw, and nine losses throughout the season. Their goal difference of -8 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but they have managed to score 21 goals, which is a positive sign for their attacking capabilities. In contrast, Rēzekne FA is struggling at the bottom of the table in 14th place, with only one win from 14 matches, two draws, and eleven losses. Their goal tally of 11 alongside a significant goal difference of -28 highlights their difficulties both offensively and defensively. With just five points to their name, Rēzekne FA has not won a match in their last five outings, further compounding their troubles. The model gives Skanste a win probability of approximately 65%, suggesting they have a solid chance of taking all three points. However, the caveat here is that Skanste's recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. Any lapses in performance could open the door for Rēzekne FA to capitalize. The full methodology of our prediction is explained in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Skanste leads 8-1)
8 Skanste1 Draw1 Rēzekne FA
11 Apr
Rēzekne FA
1-6
Skanste
1. Liga
Sept 25
Rēzekne FA
1-2
Skanste
1. Liga
May 25
Skanste
1-1
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
Sept 24
Rēzekne FA
1-0
Skanste
1. Liga
May 24
Skanste
6-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
Sept 23
Skanste
9-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
May 23
Rēzekne FA
0-2
Skanste
1. Liga
Oct 22
Skanste
1-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
Jun 22
Rēzekne FA
1-2
Skanste
Cup
May 22
Rēzekne FA
0-4
Skanste
1. Liga

In the last 10 matches between Skanste and Rēzekne FA, Skanste has won 8 times, there has been 1 draw, and Rēzekne FA has won 1 match. The scorelines indicate a significant dominance by Skanste, with several heavy victories including a 9-0 and a 6-0 win. Rēzekne FA's only win came in 2024, and since then, they have struggled to compete, with Skanste frequently outscoring them. The matches have tended to be low-scoring for Rēzekne FA, suggesting challenges in their attack against Skanste's defense. Overall, this head-to-head record clearly favors Skanste.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
15122157134438
DWWWW
2
Valmiera / BSS
15122140132738
WWWWW
3
Leevon / PPK
1510322618833
WWWLL
4
Riga Mariners
1595130131732
WDLWW
5
JDFS Alberts
157443023725
DDWLW
6
Mārupe
157172624222
LWLWL
9
Skanste
155192531-616
WLLLL
12
JFK Ventspils
152581826-811
LDLWD
13
Smiltene
152491839-2110
WLWLL
14
Rēzekne FA
1512121241-295
LLLDL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
SkansteHome
3W1D4L
8 playedGF 12 · GA 131.25 pts/game
Rēzekne FAAway
0W0D7L
7 playedGF 2 · GA 190.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
SkansteRēzekne FA
1.58Goals p.g.1.23
1.77Goals conceded p.g.2.54
19%Clean sheets4%
38%Win rate19%
3.35Avg goals in match3.77
Skanste
Recent Form

Skanste have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Mārupe 4-2 and lost to Valmiera / BSS 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 12L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: SkansteAll competitions
01 Aug
Skanste
4-2
Mārupe
1. Liga
25 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Skanste
1. Liga
18 Jul
Skanste
0-3
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
11 Jul
Skanste
0-3
JFK Ventspils
1. Liga
04 Jul
Metta / LU
3-1
Skanste
1. Liga
28 Jun
Smiltene
2-4
Skanste
1. Liga
10
Win
38%
4
Draw
15%
12
Lost
46%
Rēzekne FA
Recent Form

Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rēzekne FA 2-1 and lost to Smiltene 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 18L from the last 26 games (19% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Rēzekne FAAll competitions
01 Aug
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
25 Jul
Rēzekne FA
1-2
Mārupe
1. Liga
19 Jul
Smiltene
1-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
04 Jul
Rēzekne FA
1-1
JFK Ventspils
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rēzekne FA
2-4
JDFS Alberts
1. Liga
14 Jun
Rīgas FS II
3-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
5
Win
19%
3
Draw
12%
18
Lost
69%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Skanste

No reported absences

Rēzekne FA

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.