Kalamata vs Volos NFC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kalamata vs Volos NFC
Match Preview
The model favours Volos NFC to win this match against Kalamata, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Volos NFC currently sits in 8th place in the Super League 1 standings, having played two matches so far this season. They have managed to secure one point from a draw, scoring one goal and conceding three, which results in a goal difference of -2. Despite their position, Volos has shown the potential for improvement, particularly as they are looking to bounce back from a difficult start. Kalamata, on the other hand, is struggling at 12th place without any points from their two matches. They have lost both games, with a goal tally of two scored and five conceded, leading to a goal difference of -3. Their recent form indicates a mix of results, with three wins in their last five matches in other competitions, but they have yet to translate that form into the league. The model gives Volos NFC a win probability of around 55%, projecting a close match. However, a key caveat is that if Kalamata finds their scoring touch early, it could shift the momentum. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Kalamata have kept a clean sheet in 47% of matches. Volos NFC average 1.0 goals per game.
Kalamata manage games at home, conceding just 0.84 goals per match. Volos NFC score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.
Kalamata have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Kalamata are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kalamata vs Volos NFC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.52 | 3.00 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 1.93 | 1.73 | |
| 2.44 | 3.16 | 2.89 | 2.11 | 1.70 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.53 | 3.21 | 3.02 | 2.12 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 2.33 | 2.89 | 2.66 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.46 | 3.16 | 2.90 | 2.11 | 1.70 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
| 2.38 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.32 | 1.53 | 1.95 | 1.73 | |
| 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.88 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 2.52 | 3.15 | 2.95 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Kalamata leads 1-0)In the last two matches between Kalamata and Volos NFC, Kalamata has won once and drawn once, while Volos NFC has not secured a victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive nature, with a 2-2 draw in their most recent encounter and a 2-0 win for Kalamata in a previous friendly. This suggests that while Kalamata has had the upper hand historically, the drawn match shows Volos NFC can hold their ground. Overall, there is no evidence of one-sided dominance, as both teams have shown the ability to compete closely.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  OFI | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Panetolikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 12 |  Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 13 | Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKalamata have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Panathinaikos 0-1 and drew with Larisa 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 4L from the last 19 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Volos NFC have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kalamata 3-1 and lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 8D 19L from the last 30 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKalamata4-2-3-1Confirmed
Volos NFC4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersKalamata
No reported absences
Volos NFC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kalamata have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Volos NFC 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Kalamata have generated 1.41 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kalamata player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
