Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win this match against Kristiansund BK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently, Rosenborg sits in 6th place in the Eliteserien standings, with a solid record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. They have scored 31 goals while conceding 26, resulting in a goal difference of +5. Their recent form has been mixed, with three wins in their last five outings, suggesting they are capable of finding the back of the net and competing effectively. On the other hand, Kristiansund BK is struggling in 13th position, having accumulated only 19 points from 19 matches. Their season has been challenging, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, leading to a goal difference of -10. Their form has dipped recently, managing just one win and one draw in their last five matches. This lack of consistent performance puts them at a disadvantage against a more stable Rosenborg side. According to the model, Rosenborg has a win probability of around 60%, with Kristiansund BK at approximately 20%. One key market percentage indicates that Rosenborg is favoured to win by a margin of 1 goal. However, a caveat to consider is Kristiansund's potential to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Rosenborg. The full methodology behind this prediction, which utilizes expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, prepared by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Rosenborg win as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.35 | 4.60 | 1.49 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 5.35 | 5.00 | 1.54 | 1.43 | 2.93 | — | — | |
| 4.84 | 4.05 | 1.44 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 5.75 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 5.44 | 4.77 | 1.53 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
Betano | 5.40 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 1.42 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg, Rosenborg has won 4 times, Kristiansund BK has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness and some notable performances, particularly with Kristiansund BK's 4-1 victory in June 2025 and a high-scoring 4-4 draw in October 2022. However, Rosenborg has also secured heavy wins, including a 4-0 result in December 2024. The matches have generally been closely contested, with the most recent win for Kristiansund BK occurring in 2025.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Kristiansund BK | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKristiansund BK have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Kristiansund BK 1-2 and drew with Kristiansund BK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 14L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosenborg have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Bodo/Glimt 4-2 and beat National Kameratene 0-9.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 14L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKristiansund BK
No reported absences
Rosenborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Marius Lien has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Marius Lien to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Kristiansund BK have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Rosenborg 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.56 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
