Kristiansund BK vs Tromso Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Tromso
Match Preview
The model favours Tromso to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Kristiansund BK. Tromso currently sits in a strong third position in the league, having accumulated 34 points from 17 matches. Their season has been characterized by a solid offensive display, scoring 34 goals while conceding only 20, which gives them an impressive goal difference of +14. With three wins in their last five matches, Tromso has shown resilience and consistency, particularly in their attacking play. In contrast, Kristiansund BK is struggling at the bottom of the table in 14th place, with just 15 points from their 17 matches. Their performance has been inconsistent, evidenced by their recent form of two wins and three losses in their last five fixtures. With only 15 goals scored and 27 conceded, they have a goal difference of -12, highlighting their difficulties both in attack and defense this season. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Tromso, suggesting they are the clear favourites in this matchup. However, one caveat is that if Kristiansund can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Tromso, they could potentially turn the tide. The full method used for this prediction is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Tromso have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tromso are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Tromso| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.40 | 3.95 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 4.25 | 3.74 | 1.76 | 1.73 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 4.26 | 3.87 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 4.13 | 3.53 | 1.60 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.75 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 4.34 | 3.82 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.71 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.06 | |
Betano | 4.55 | 3.95 | 1.67 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tromso leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Kristiansund BK and Tromso, the record stands at Kristiansund BK winning 3 times, drawing 3, and Tromso winning 4. This indicates a competitive rivalry, with no team significantly dominating the other. The scorelines reveal a mix of tight encounters, including three draws and several narrow wins. Notably, both teams have registered shutouts, with Kristiansund BK achieving a 3-0 victory in a friendly, while Tromso has won by margins of 1-3 and 2-1 in league matches. The most recent win for Kristiansund BK against Tromso was in April 2024, suggesting that recent results have been closely contested.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 | Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Kristiansund BK | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKristiansund BK have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Kristiansund BK 1-2 and drew with Kristiansund BK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 14L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Tromso have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tromso 2-0 and lost to Brighton 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 9L from the last 36 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersKristiansund BK1
Tromso4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
U. Aslam has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by U. Aslam to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Kristiansund BK have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Tromso 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tromso have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tromso player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
