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KuPS vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Tips & Odds

KuPS vs Trabzonspor

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1
KuPS
#12 · UEFA Europa Conference League
LWDDL
VS
Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Trabzonspor
#27 · UEFA Europa Conference League
LWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 (implied 58.5%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 61.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.64). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.0% vs 58.5%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours KuPS to win against Trabzonspor with a projected scoreline of 2-1. KuPS enters this match with a decent recent form, having secured two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Positioned at 12th in the league, they are looking to build momentum as they kick off their UEFA Europa Conference League campaign. The team's ability to score and maintain competitive performances could be crucial in securing a positive result. On the other hand, Trabzonspor has struggled with form, registering two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Currently sitting at 27th in the standings, they are under pressure to turn their fortunes around. The lack of consistent performances may hinder their ability to compete effectively in this fixture, especially as they face a team that is more stable in recent matches. Based on the analysis, the model suggests a win probability of 60% for KuPS, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to watch is KuPS winning by a margin of one goal. However, the unpredictability of opening matches in the league means that any early defensive lapses could shift the momentum in favour of Trabzonspor. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team relies on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
KuPS Win33%6.15
Draw20%4.22
Trabzonspor Win47%1.47
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8650.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7152.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
KuPS 0-1 Trabzonspor
6.8014.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Trabzonspor -0.0
1.1541%

Trabzonspor have been the stronger side, winning 51% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.80
14.7%
0-2
6.97
14.4%
1-2
7.90
12.7%
1-1
7.96
12.6%
0-3
10.10
9.9%
1-3
11.42
8.8%

Our model projects a 0-1 Trabzonspor win as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
KuPS
-0.0
4.86
Trabzonspor
+0.0
1.15
KuPS
-1.5
12.00
Trabzonspor
+1.5
2.25

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Trabzonspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

KuPS vs Trabzonspor
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
6.554.301.451.722.051.841.84
Betfair
6.004.331.471.652.101.871.90
Pinnacle
6.104.551.471.702.14——
SBO
5.803.981.38————
William Hill
5.003.751.53——1.911.85
Bet365
6.254.001.451.702.101.831.83
1xBet
6.794.461.501.782.121.841.86
Betano
6.404.451.501.752.121.871.87
BetVictor
6.504.201.441.672.031.831.87

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XKuPS or Draw
53%2.59
12KuPS or Trabzonspor
80%1.19
X2Draw or Trabzonspor
67%1.11

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Mjallby AIF
00000000
2
Brighton
00000000
3
Monaco
00000000
4
FK Jablonec
00000000
5
Gent
00000000
6
St. Truiden
00000000
12
KuPS
00000000
27
Trabzonspor
00000000
34
FC Iberia 1999
00000000
35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
00000000
36
Riga
00000000

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
KuPSHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
TrabzonsporAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KuPSTrabzonspor
1.56Goals p.g.1.54
0.89Goals conceded p.g.1.14
41%Clean sheets23%
52%Win rate51%
2.44Avg goals in match2.69
3.10xG per game1.36
—xGA per game0.19
51%Possession %56%
4.2Shots on target / game4.0
4.0Corners per game5.9
KuPS
Recent Form

KuPS have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to AC Oulu 0-1 and drew with HJK Helsinki 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 5L from the last 27 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KuPSAll competitions
08 Oct
KuPS
0-1
AC Oulu
Veikkausliiga
19 Sept
VPS
0-2
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
13 Sept
KuPS
0-0
HJK Helsinki
Veikkausliiga
08 Sept
Gnistan
1-1
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1-0
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
27 Aug
KuPS
1-0
Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
14
Win
52%
8
Draw
30%
5
Lost
19%
Trabzonspor
Recent Form

Trabzonspor have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Konyaspor 1-0 and lost to Amed 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 6D 11L from the last 35 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TrabzonsporAll competitions
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0-1
Drogheda United
Friendlies Clubs
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4-0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1-0
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5-0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Süper Lig
31 Aug
Amed
2-1
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
27 Aug
Ferencvarosi TC
4-0
Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa League
18
Win
51%
6
Draw
17%
11
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

KuPS

No reported absences

Trabzonspor

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
KuPS Win6.15 (33%)
Trabzonspor Win1.47 (46.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (52%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (48%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (50.9%)
BTTS No1.86 (49.1%)
Speculative
Draw4.22 (20.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

KuPS have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Trabzonspor 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Trabzonspor have generated 1.36 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 51% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Trabzonspor player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.