Kuressaare vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kuressaare vs Laagri
Match Preview
The model favours Laagri to win this match against Kuressaare, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Laagri currently sits in 8th place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 25 points from 20 matches with a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses. Their season has been marked by a solid offensive output, scoring 30 goals, although they have also conceded 34. Despite their negative goal difference, Laagri has shown resilience, particularly in their recent form, where they secured three wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Kuressaare finds themselves in 9th place with 18 points, struggling with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses. They have managed to score only 19 goals while conceding 33, resulting in a goal difference of -14. Their recent performances indicate a decline, with just one win in their last five matches, and they will need to find a way to shore up their defence and improve their goal-scoring if they hope to turn things around. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Laagri, making them the likely victors in this matchup. However, Kuressaare could pose a challenge if they manage to exploit any defensive lapses from Laagri. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Kuressaare have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Kuressaare are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kuressaare vs Laagri| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.49 | 3.38 | 2.42 | 1.66 | 2.09 | 1.54 | 2.25 | |
| 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.52 | 3.54 | 2.51 | 1.70 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 2.44 | 3.18 | 2.34 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.59 | 3.40 | 2.33 | 1.66 | 2.09 | 1.54 | 2.29 | |
| 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.28 | 1.58 | 2.16 | 1.50 | 2.33 | |
| 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 1.60 | 2.05 | — | — |
Superbet | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.66 | 2.07 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.52 | 1.85 | 1.40 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Laagri leads 4-2)The head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Laagri stands at 2 wins for Kuressaare, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Laagri over the last 10 matches. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, with a balanced number of victories for both sides and a significant presence of draws. The scorelines reveal that while both teams have managed to secure narrow wins, there have been no heavy defeats, suggesting closely contested encounters. Notably, Kuressaare has not won against Laagri in their last six meetings, highlighting a potential challenge for them in breaking this trend.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 50 | WDWLD |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Vaprus | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Tammeka | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | LLWWW |
| 8 | Laagri | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 | WLDLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 50 | -33 | 16 | LWWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKuressaare have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Laagri 3-2 and beat Welco X 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 16L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Laagri have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Laagri 3-2 and lost to Flora Tallinn 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 14L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKuressaare
No reported absences
Laagri
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kuressaare average 1.3 goals per match at home; Laagri 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Kuressaare have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 32% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Kuressaare player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.