Kuressaare vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kuressaare vs Laagri


Match Preview
The model favours Laagri to win this match against Kuressaare, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Laagri currently sits in 8th place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 25 points from 20 matches with a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses. Their season has been marked by a solid offensive output, scoring 30 goals, although they have also conceded 34. Despite their negative goal difference, Laagri has shown resilience, particularly in their recent form, where they secured three wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Kuressaare finds themselves in 9th place with 18 points, struggling with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses. They have managed to score only 19 goals while conceding 33, resulting in a goal difference of -14. Their recent performances indicate a decline, with just one win in their last five matches, and they will need to find a way to shore up their defence and improve their goal-scoring if they hope to turn things around. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Laagri, making them the likely victors in this matchup. However, Kuressaare could pose a challenge if they manage to exploit any defensive lapses from Laagri. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Laagri leads 4-2)



















Laagri hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings with 4 draws and 2 Kuressaare wins. The record points to a tie Laagri have controlled for years, though the draws show Kuressaare have at times kept it tight.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 46 | WLDWW | |
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 36 | LWWLW | |
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 | DWDDL | |
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 32 | LWDWW | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 26 | LWLWL | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 26 | LWWWD | |
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 | WWLLL | |
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 | DLLLD | |
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 13 | WLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Kuressaare have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Welco X 5-1 and drew with Kalju Nomme 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 16L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













Laagri have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tammeka 2-1 and lost to Paide 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 12L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Kuressaare
No reported absences
Laagri
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
