Kuressaare vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds

Kuressaare vs Laagri

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 22
Kuressaare
#9 · Meistriliiga
WDLLL
VS
Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare (1,600)
Laagri
#8 · Meistriliiga
WWWLL

Match Preview

The model favours Laagri to win this match against Kuressaare, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Laagri currently sits in 8th place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 25 points from 20 matches with a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses. Their season has been marked by a solid offensive output, scoring 30 goals, although they have also conceded 34. Despite their negative goal difference, Laagri has shown resilience, particularly in their recent form, where they secured three wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Kuressaare finds themselves in 9th place with 18 points, struggling with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses. They have managed to score only 19 goals while conceding 33, resulting in a goal difference of -14. Their recent performances indicate a decline, with just one win in their last five matches, and they will need to find a way to shore up their defence and improve their goal-scoring if they hope to turn things around. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Laagri, making them the likely victors in this matchup. However, Kuressaare could pose a challenge if they manage to exploit any defensive lapses from Laagri. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Laagri leads 4-2)
2 Kuressaare4 Draw4 Laagri
13 Jun
Laagri
2-3
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
11 Apr
Kuressaare
3-2
Laagri
Meistriliiga
Sept 25
Laagri
2-1
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
Aug 25
Kuressaare
1-3
Laagri
Meistriliiga
Jun 25
Laagri
1-1
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
Mar 25
Kuressaare
1-2
Laagri
Meistriliiga
Jan 25
Laagri
2-0
Kuressaare
Friendlies Clubs
Nov 23
Kuressaare
1-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
Jul 23
Laagri
1-1
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
May 23
Laagri
1-1
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga

Laagri hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings with 4 draws and 2 Kuressaare wins. The record points to a tie Laagri have controlled for years, though the draws show Kuressaare have at times kept it tight.

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
19144149163346
WLDWW
2
Flora Tallinn
19120739211836
LWWLW
3
Kalju Nomme
20105533161735
DWDDL
4
Paide
209563228432
LWDWW
5
Vaprus
2082102838-1026
LWLWL
6
Tammeka
188282126-526
LWWWD
8
Laagri
2081113034-425
WWLLL
9
Kuressaare
2053121933-1418
DLLLD
10
Trans Narva
2041151547-3213
WLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
KuressaareHome
3W2D5L
10 playedGF 9 · GA 141.10 pts/game
LaagriAway
3W0D6L
9 playedGF 9 · GA 171.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KuressaareLaagri
1.3Goals p.g.2
1.83Goals conceded p.g.1.53
17%Clean sheets27%
30%Win rate47%
3.13Avg goals in match3.53
Kuressaare
Recent Form

Kuressaare have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Welco X 5-1 and drew with Kalju Nomme 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 16L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: KuressaareAll competitions
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5-1
Welco X
Cup
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0-0
Kalju Nomme
Meistriliiga
11 Jul
Nõmme United
3-2
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0-3
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
26 Jun
Vaprus
1-0
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
16 Jun
Kuressaare
0-0
Trans Narva
Meistriliiga
9
Win
30%
5
Draw
17%
16
Lost
53%
Laagri
Recent Form

Laagri have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tammeka 2-1 and lost to Paide 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 12L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LaagriAll competitions
23 Jul
Laagri
8-0
Rae Spordikool
Cup
19 Jul
Laagri
5-2
Paide
Meistriliiga
10 Jul
Laagri
3-0
Trans Narva
Meistriliiga
05 Jul
Tammeka
2-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
20 Jun
Laagri
1-3
Nõmme United
Meistriliiga
17 Jun
Paide
1-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
14
Win
47%
4
Draw
13%
12
Lost
40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kuressaare

No reported absences

Laagri

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.